Leça host Fafe in the Liga 3 on Sunday 6 September, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube. Leça are 2nd with 14 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Fafe sit 4th on 13 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Leça's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Paredes 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Fafe's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Pacos Ferreira 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fafe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.9 for Leça and 1.2 for Fafe. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leça 31%, draw 23%, Fafe 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Leça 1–1 Fafe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leça31%fair 3.24 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @2.90
Fafe46%fair 2.19 · @2.30
2.17Expected goals
0.94Leça xG
1.23Fafe xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Leça 0.9 – 1.2 Fafe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fafe to win✓
46%
2.19
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fafe / FT Fafe✓
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.11
–
Form
Leça – last 6
WLDDLD
23 Aug
@ Paredes
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Guimaraes B
0–2
L
9 Aug
vs São João Ver
1–1
D
29 Jul
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
0–0
D
15 Jul
@ Santa Clara
0–4
L
10 Jun
vs Vitória de Sernache
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Fafe – last 6
DDWDWL
29 Aug
@ Pacos Ferreira
0–0
D
21 Aug
vs Guimaraes B
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ São João Ver
3–1
W
9 Aug
vs Vianense
0–0
D
31 Jul
vs Maria da Fonte
2–0
W
15 Jul
@ Chaves
1–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leça and Fafe.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Leça vs Fafe?
On our numbers Leça have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fafe 46%.
How many goals will there be in Leça vs Fafe?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leça vs Fafe?
Our predicted score is Leça 1–1 Fafe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Leça vs Fafe?
Leça vs Fafe (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio do Leca Futebol Clube.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
