Oliveirense vs Vitória de Sernache prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Oliveirense to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultOliveirense to win ✓63% · @1.73
Double chanceOliveirense or draw ✓88% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.24
Oliveirense vs Vitória de Sernache preview and prediction
The match
The Liga 3 sees Oliveirense take on Vitória de Sernache on Sunday 23 August, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Estadio Carlos Osorio. Oliveirense are 3rd with 13 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Vitória de Sernache sit 8th on 7 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Oliveirense's last 5: DDLDL Most recently they drew with União Santarém 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Vitória de Sernache's last 5: DLDDD Most recently they drew with SC Covilha 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.4 for Oliveirense and 0.4 for Vitória de Sernache. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Oliveirense 63%, draw 26%, Vitória de Sernache 12%.
Safer route: Oliveirense or draw (88%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Oliveirense to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Oliveirense 1–0 Vitória de Sernache. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oliveirense63%fair 1.60 · @1.73
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.30
Vitória de Sernache12%fair 8.61 · @4.33
1.75Expected goals
1.36Oliveirense xG
0.39Vitória de Sernache xG
46%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–024%
0–017%
2–016%
1–19%
3–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Oliveirense 1.4 – 0.4 Vitória de Sernache expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Oliveirense to win✓
63%
1.60
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Oliveirense or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Oliveirense / FT Oliveirense✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
24%
4.24
–
Form
Oliveirense – last 6
DDLDLW
14 Aug
@ União Santarém
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Louletano
0–0
D
17 May
vs Felgueiras 1932
1–5
L
2 May
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
0–0
D
27 Apr
@ Chaves
1–2
L
22 Apr
vs Benfica B
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vitória de Sernache – last 6
DLDDDD
16 Aug
vs SC Covilha
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Mafra
0–5
L
10 Jun
@ Leça
1–1
D
31 May
vs Louletano
1–1
D
17 May
vs Oliveira Hospital
0–0
D
25 Mar
vs Benfica Castelo Branco
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oliveirense and Vitória de Sernache.
What is the prediction for Oliveirense vs Vitória de Sernache?
Our pick is Oliveirense to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Oliveirense vs Vitória de Sernache?
On our numbers Oliveirense have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Vitória de Sernache 12%.
How many goals will there be in Oliveirense vs Vitória de Sernache?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oliveirense vs Vitória de Sernache?
Our predicted score is Oliveirense 1–0 Vitória de Sernache, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Oliveirense vs Vitória de Sernache?
Oliveirense vs Vitória de Sernache (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Osorio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
