Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: AD Marco 09 to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAD Marco 09 to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceAD Marco 09 or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.15
AD Marco 09 vs Vianense preview and prediction
The match
The Liga 3 sees AD Marco 09 take on Vianense on Sunday 23 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). AD Marco 09 are 3rd with 14 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Vianense sit 7th on 11 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
AD Marco 09's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Varzim 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Vianense's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Trofense 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Vianense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.4 for AD Marco 09 and 0.6 for Vianense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: AD Marco 09 61%, draw 21%, Vianense 17%.
Safer route: AD Marco 09 or draw (83%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.83.
Value angle: AD Marco 09 to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was AD Marco 09 or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: AD Marco 09 1–0 Vianense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AD Marco 0961%fair 1.63 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.00
Vianense17%fair 5.73 · @3.60
2.00Expected goals
1.43AD Marco 09 xG
0.57Vianense xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–014%
0–014%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: AD Marco 09 1.4 – 0.6 Vianense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AD Marco 09 to win✓
61%
1.63
1.95 ▲
Double chance
AD Marco 09 or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AD Marco 09 / FT AD Marco 09✗
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.15
–
Form
AD Marco 09 – last 6
LWDLDD
16 Aug
@ Varzim
1–2
L
9 Aug
vs Pacos Ferreira
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Cinfães
1–1
D
15 Jul
@ União de Leiria
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Fafe
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Sanjoanense
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Vianense – last 6
WDLWLW
15 Aug
vs Trofense
2–0
W
9 Aug
@ Fafe
0–0
D
29 Jul
@ AVS
0–3
L
31 May
vs Rebordosa
2–0
W
17 May
vs Leça
3–4
L
22 Mar
@ Ribeira Brava
5–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AD Marco 09 and Vianense.
What is the prediction for AD Marco 09 vs Vianense?
Our pick is AD Marco 09 or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win AD Marco 09 vs Vianense?
On our numbers AD Marco 09 have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Vianense 17%.
How many goals will there be in AD Marco 09 vs Vianense?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AD Marco 09 vs Vianense?
Our predicted score is AD Marco 09 1–0 Vianense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is AD Marco 09 vs Vianense?
AD Marco 09 vs Vianense (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
