Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCF Os Belenenses to win ✓60% · @1.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.87
CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas preview and prediction
The match
Caldas travel to face CF Os Belenenses in the Liga 3 on Saturday 8 August (17:30 WAT). CF Os Belenenses are 1st with 21 points from 9 games (top of the table), while Caldas sit 7th on 11 points (in the top half).
Form guide
CF Os Belenenses's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Estoril 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Caldas's last 4: DDLW Most recently they drew with Academica 2–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for CF Os Belenenses and 0.8 for Caldas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: CF Os Belenenses 60%, draw 19%, Caldas 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: CF Os Belenenses 1–0 Caldas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CF Os Belenenses60%fair 1.66 · @1.60
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @3.50
Caldas21%fair 4.84 · @5.40
2.42Expected goals
1.63CF Os Belenenses xG
0.79Caldas xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: CF Os Belenenses 1.6 – 0.8 Caldas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CF Os Belenenses to win✓
60%
1.66
1.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CF Os Belenenses / FT CF Os Belenenses✓
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.87
–
Form
CF Os Belenenses – last 6
DLLDDW
31 Jul
vs Estoril
1–1
D
24 Jul
@ Benfica
1–5
L
17 Jul
@ Alverca
1–2
L
30 May
vs Farense
0–0
D
2 May
vs União Santarém
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Trofense
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Caldas – last 4
DDLW
1 Aug
vs Academica
2–2
D
22 Mar
vs Lusitano Évora 1911
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ SC Covilha
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs 1º Dezembro
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CF Os Belenenses and Caldas.
What is the prediction for CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas?
On our numbers CF Os Belenenses have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Caldas 21%.
How many goals will there be in CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas?
Our predicted score is CF Os Belenenses 1–0 Caldas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas?
CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
