SC Covilha vs União Santarém prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: SC Covilha to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSC Covilha to win ✓41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.07
SC Covilha vs União Santarém preview and prediction
The match
SC Covilha host União Santarém in the Liga 3 on Saturday 8 August, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). SC Covilha are 9th with 7 points from 9 games (in the top half), while União Santarém sit 4th on 13 points (in the top four).
Form guide
SC Covilha's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with Amora 1–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
União Santarém's last 5: DLDDD Most recently they drew with Academica 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
SC Covilha arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for SC Covilha and 1.1 for União Santarém. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: SC Covilha to win at 2.62 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: SC Covilha 1–1 União Santarém. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SC Covilha41%fair 2.45 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
União Santarém34%fair 2.95 · @2.62
2.28Expected goals
1.21SC Covilha xG
1.07União Santarém xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: SC Covilha 1.2 – 1.1 União Santarém expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SC Covilha to win✓
41%
2.45
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SC Covilha / FT SC Covilha✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.07
–
Form
SC Covilha – last 3
DWW
1 May
vs Amora
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Caldas
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Amora
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
União Santarém – last 6
DLDDDL
31 Jul
vs Academica
0–0
D
10 May
@ Amarante
0–1
L
2 May
@ CF Os Belenenses
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs Academica
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Guimaraes B
1–1
D
3 Apr
@ Mafra
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SC Covilha and União Santarém.
What is the prediction for SC Covilha vs União Santarém?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win SC Covilha vs União Santarém?
On our numbers SC Covilha have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and União Santarém 34%.
How many goals will there be in SC Covilha vs União Santarém?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SC Covilha vs União Santarém?
Our predicted score is SC Covilha 1–1 União Santarém, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is SC Covilha vs União Santarém?
SC Covilha vs União Santarém (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
