Chippenham Town vs Yate Town prediction & analysis
58%
Footrivo pick
Chippenham Town to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.05 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultChippenham Town to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.00
Chippenham Town vs Yate Town preview and prediction
The match
The Non League Premier Southern South sees Chippenham Town take on Yate Town on Tuesday 11 August, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT). Chippenham Town are 17th with 16 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Yate Town sit 13th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Chippenham Town's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Uxbridge 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Yate Town's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Gosport Borough 1–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Chippenham Town and 0.7 for Yate Town. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 55% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chippenham Town 58%, draw 21%, Yate Town 21%.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.05 – 55% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Chippenham Town to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.72, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chippenham Town 1–0 Yate Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chippenham Town58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.60
Yate Town21%fair 4.72 · @3.40
2.17Expected goals
1.46Chippenham Town xG
0.71Yate Town xG
44%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Chippenham Town 1.5 – 0.7 Yate Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chippenham Town to win✗
58%
1.72
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chippenham Town / FT Chippenham Town✗
33%
3.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.00
–
Form
Chippenham Town – last 6
LLWWLL
8 Aug
@ Uxbridge
0–2
L
14 Jul
@ Swindon Town
0–1
L
10 Jul
@ Paulton Rovers
2–1
W
6 Apr
vs AFC Totton
2–0
W
3 Apr
@ Bath City
0–1
L
10 Mar
@ Hemel Hempstead Town
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Yate Town – last 6
WLLWDD
8 Aug
vs Gosport Borough
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Leamington
1–3
L
11 Jul
vs Barry Town
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Evesham United
3–0
W
3 Apr
@ Chertsey Town
2–2
D
24 Mar
vs Poole Town
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chippenham Town and Yate Town.
What is the prediction for Chippenham Town vs Yate Town?
Our pick is Chippenham Town to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Chippenham Town vs Yate Town?
On our numbers Chippenham Town have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Yate Town 21%.
How many goals will there be in Chippenham Town vs Yate Town?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chippenham Town vs Yate Town?
Our predicted score is Chippenham Town 1–0 Yate Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Chippenham Town vs Yate Town?
Chippenham Town vs Yate Town (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
