Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.74
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.57
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.72
Bath City vs Plymouth Parkway preview and prediction
The match
Plymouth Parkway travel to Twerton Park in the Non League Premier Southern South on Tuesday 11 August (19:45 WAT) to face Bath City. Bath City are 6th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Plymouth Parkway sit 4th on 29 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Bath City's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Sholing 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Plymouth Parkway's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Bracknell Town 7–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game.
Plymouth Parkway arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 2.6 for Bath City and 1.5 for Plymouth Parkway. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bath City 63%, draw 15%, Plymouth Parkway 21%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bath City 2–1 Plymouth Parkway. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bath City63%fair 1.58 · @1.65
Draw15%fair 6.51 · @4.00
Plymouth Parkway21%fair 4.73 · @3.90
4.05Expected goals
2.60Bath City xG
1.45Plymouth Parkway xG
57%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Bath City 2.6 – 1.5 Plymouth Parkway expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bath City to win✗
63%
1.58
1.65
Double chance
Either team to win✗
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.57 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Bath City ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bath City / FT Bath City✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.72
–
Form
Bath City – last 6
WLDLLL
8 Aug
@ Sholing
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Farnborough
0–3
L
25 Jul
vs Newport County
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Plymouth
0–3
L
14 Jul
vs Cardiff City U21
0–2
L
14 Apr
@ AFC Totton
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Plymouth Parkway – last 6
WLWWWW
8 Aug
vs Bracknell Town
7–0
W
11 Jul
vs Plymouth
1–4
L
6 Apr
@ Tiverton Town
3–2
W
3 Apr
vs Basingstoke Town
3–0
W
24 Mar
vs Farnham Town
2–1
W
17 Mar
vs Chertsey Town
3–1
W
3.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bath City and Plymouth Parkway.
What is the prediction for Bath City vs Plymouth Parkway?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Bath City vs Plymouth Parkway?
On our numbers Bath City have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Plymouth Parkway 21%.
How many goals will there be in Bath City vs Plymouth Parkway?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bath City vs Plymouth Parkway?
Our predicted score is Bath City 2–1 Plymouth Parkway, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Bath City vs Plymouth Parkway?
Bath City vs Plymouth Parkway (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Twerton Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
