Value bet: Berkhamsted to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBerkhamsted to win ✗38% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.86
Chertsey Town vs Berkhamsted preview and prediction
The match
The Non League Premier Southern South sees Chertsey Town take on Berkhamsted on Tuesday 11 August, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT). Chertsey Town are 5th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Berkhamsted sit 12th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Chertsey Town's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Gloucester City 1–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Berkhamsted's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Havant & Wville 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Chertsey Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.7 for Chertsey Town and 0.8 for Berkhamsted. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chertsey Town 36%, draw 25%, Berkhamsted 38%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Berkhamsted to win at 2.80 – 38% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.96, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chertsey Town 0–0 Berkhamsted. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chertsey Town36%fair 2.74 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @2.90
Berkhamsted38%fair 2.62 · @2.80
1.50Expected goals
0.74Chertsey Town xG
0.76Berkhamsted xG
49%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–022%
0–117%
1–016%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Chertsey Town 0.7 – 0.8 Berkhamsted expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Berkhamsted to win✗
38%
2.62
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.05
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
93%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
57%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
29%
3.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.86
–
Form
Chertsey Town – last 6
WWWWDW
8 Aug
@ Gloucester City
1–0
W
31 Jul
vs Westfield (Surrey)
4–2
W
28 Jul
vs Chesham United
2–1
W
21 Jul
vs Wealdstone
2–0
W
11 Jul
@ Ashford Town (Middlesex)
2–2
D
6 Apr
@ Walton & Hersham
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Berkhamsted – last 6
WLLWWL
8 Aug
vs Havant & Wville
2–0
W
11 Jul
@ Bedford Town
0–2
L
29 Apr
@ Farnham Town
1–2
L
6 Apr
vs Hungerford Town
4–1
W
3 Apr
@ Dorchester Town
3–2
W
10 Mar
vs Hanwell Town
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chertsey Town and Berkhamsted.
What is the prediction for Chertsey Town vs Berkhamsted?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Chertsey Town vs Berkhamsted?
On our numbers Chertsey Town have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Berkhamsted 38%.
How many goals will there be in Chertsey Town vs Berkhamsted?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chertsey Town vs Berkhamsted?
Our predicted score is Chertsey Town 0–0 Berkhamsted, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Chertsey Town vs Berkhamsted?
Chertsey Town vs Berkhamsted (Non League Premier Southern South) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
