Stourbridge vs Leighton Town prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Stourbridge to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultStourbridge to win ✓64% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.20
Stourbridge vs Leighton Town preview and prediction
The match
Leighton Town travel to face Stourbridge in the Non League Premier Southern Central on Saturday 10 October (15:00 WAT). Stourbridge are 11th with 22 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Leighton Town sit 21st on 6 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Stourbridge's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Racing Club Warwick 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Leighton Town's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Peterborough Sports 2–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Stourbridge arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Stourbridge and 0.9 for Leighton Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Stourbridge 64%, draw 16%, Leighton Town 20%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Stourbridge to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Stourbridge 1–0 Leighton Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stourbridge64%fair 1.57 · @1.85
Draw16%fair 6.13 · @3.60
Leighton Town20%fair 5.01 · @3.40
2.89Expected goals
1.95Stourbridge xG
0.93Leighton Town xG
48%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Stourbridge 2.0 – 0.9 Leighton Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stourbridge to win✓
64%
1.57
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Stourbridge ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stourbridge / FT Stourbridge✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.20
–
Form
Stourbridge – last 6
LDWLDL
3 Oct
vs Racing Club Warwick
0–1
L
29 Sep
@ Alvechurch
0–0
D
26 Sep
@ Rushall Olympic
3–1
W
22 Sep
vs Real Bedford
1–4
L
12 Sep
@ Hitchin Town
1–1
D
1 Sep
vs Leamington
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Leighton Town – last 6
LLLLLL
3 Oct
vs Peterborough Sports
2–4
L
29 Sep
@ Hitchin Town
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Newmarket
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Halesowen Town
2–4
L
5 Sep
vs Gorleston
1–4
L
31 Aug
@ Real Bedford
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stourbridge and Leighton Town.
What is the prediction for Stourbridge vs Leighton Town?
Our pick is Stourbridge to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Stourbridge vs Leighton Town?
On our numbers Stourbridge have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Leighton Town 20%.
How many goals will there be in Stourbridge vs Leighton Town?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stourbridge vs Leighton Town?
Our predicted score is Stourbridge 1–0 Leighton Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Stourbridge vs Leighton Town?
Stourbridge vs Leighton Town (Non League Premier Southern Central) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
