Non League Premier Southern Central · EnglandRacing Club Warwick vs Leiston prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Racing Club Warwick 1.5 – 1.6 Leiston expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Racing Club Warwick and Leiston on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 42% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Racing Club Warwick have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8 per game. Leiston have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded. Leiston come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.1 goals (1.5 for Racing Club Warwick, 1.6 for Leiston). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is close to our fair price of 1.71.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Leiston to win ✗ | 42% | 2.38 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.85 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 81% | 1.23 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.71 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 39% | 2.55 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Leiston / FT Leiston ✗ | 24% | 4.14 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.48 | – |
Form
Racing Club Warwick – last 6
| 3 Oct | @ Stourbridge | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | vs Worcester City | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs Bromsgrove Sporting | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Sep | @ Redditch United | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Alvechurch | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Anstey Nomads | 2–3 | L |
Leiston – last 6
| 3 Oct | vs Coventry United | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Sep | @ Real Bedford | 2–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Dartford | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Sep | vs Peterborough Sports | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Hitchin Town | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Banbury United | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Racing Club Warwick and Leiston.
Non League Premier Southern Central table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Bedford | 17 | +21 | 38 |
| 2 |  Bury Town | 17 | +5 | 35 |
| 3 |  Bromsgrove Sporting | 15 | +15 | 34 |
| 4 |  Kettering Town | 16 | +13 | 31 |
| 5 |  Peterborough Sports | 17 | +7 | 30 |
| 6 |  Needham Market | 16 | +12 | 28 |
| 7 |  Rushall Olympic | 17 | +4 | 27 |
| 8 |  Alvechurch | 14 | +14 | 26 |
| 9 |  Anstey Nomads | 15 | +8 | 26 |
| 10 |  Halesowen Town | 14 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 |  Stourbridge | 15 | -1 | 22 |
| 12 |  Racing Club Warwick | 16 | +1 | 20 |
| 13 |  Stratford Town | 16 | -5 | 19 |
| 14 |  Redditch United | 15 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 |  Hitchin Town | 16 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 |  Leiston | 14 | -4 | 15 |
| 17 |  Banbury United | 16 | -11 | 14 |
| 18 |  Worcester City | 13 | -2 | 13 |
| 19 |  Leamington | 16 | -8 | 13 |
| 20 |  Bishop's Stortford | 16 | -11 | 13 |
| 21 |  Leighton Town | 15 | -19 | 6 |
| 22 |  Stamford | 16 | -35 | 5 |
More Non League Premier Southern Central predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Racing Club Warwick vs Leiston?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Racing Club Warwick vs Leiston?
On our numbers Racing Club Warwick have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Leiston 42%.
How many goals will there be in Racing Club Warwick vs Leiston?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Racing Club Warwick vs Leiston?
Racing Club Warwick vs Leiston (Non League Premier Southern Central) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.