The Non League Premier Southern Central sees Needham Market take on Stamford on Tuesday 29 September, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT). Needham Market are 6th with 28 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Stamford sit 22nd on 5 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Needham Market's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Canvey Island 3–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Stamford's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Loughborough University 1–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Needham Market arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.2 for Needham Market and 0.7 for Stamford. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Needham Market to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Needham Market 2–0 Stamford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Needham Market70%fair 1.43 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @4.00
Stamford9%fair 10.56 · @6.50
2.93Expected goals
2.20Needham Market xG
0.73Stamford xG
55%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Needham Market 2.2 – 0.7 Stamford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Needham Market to win✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Double chance
Needham Market or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Needham Market ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Needham Market / FT Needham Market✓
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.71
–
Form
Needham Market – last 6
WLDWDD
26 Sep
@ Canvey Island
3–0
W
22 Sep
@ Braintree
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Braintree
3–3
D
12 Sep
vs Worcester City
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Stanway Rovers
0–0
D
31 Aug
vs Peterborough Sports
3–3
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stamford – last 6
LLLLLL
26 Sep
vs Loughborough University
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Bishop's Stortford
0–3
L
12 Sep
@ Alvechurch
0–4
L
5 Sep
vs Mickleover Sports
0–1
L
31 Aug
@ Kettering Town
0–5
L
29 Aug
vs Rushall Olympic
0–3
L
0.2Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Needham Market and Stamford.
What is the prediction for Needham Market vs Stamford?
Our pick is Needham Market to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Needham Market vs Stamford?
On our numbers Needham Market have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Stamford 9%.
How many goals will there be in Needham Market vs Stamford?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Needham Market vs Stamford?
Our predicted score is Needham Market 2–0 Stamford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Needham Market vs Stamford?
Needham Market vs Stamford (Non League Premier Southern Central) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
