Bishop's Stortford vs Bury Town prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Bury Town or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Bury Town to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBury Town to win ✓63% · @1.91
Double chanceBury Town or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.84
Bishop's Stortford vs Bury Town preview and prediction
The match
The Non League Premier Southern Central sees Bishop's Stortford take on Bury Town on Tuesday 29 September, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT). Bishop's Stortford are 18th with 14 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Bury Town sit 3rd on 36 points (in the top four). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bishop's Stortford's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Hanworth Villa 2–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Bury Town's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to St Albans City 1–4 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Bury Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Bishop's Stortford and 1.9 for Bury Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bishop's Stortford 16%, draw 20%, Bury Town 63%.
Safer route: Bury Town or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Bury Town to win at 1.91 – 63% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bury Town or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bishop's Stortford 0–1 Bury Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bishop's Stortford16%fair 6.12 · @3.30
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.25
Bury Town63%fair 1.58 · @1.91
2.69Expected goals
0.81Bishop's Stortford xG
1.88Bury Town xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Bishop's Stortford 0.8 – 1.9 Bury Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bury Town to win✓
63%
1.58
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Bury Town or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Bury Town ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bury Town / FT Bury Town✓
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.84
–
Form
Bishop's Stortford – last 6
LWWLWL
26 Sep
@ Hanworth Villa
2–3
L
19 Sep
@ Stamford
3–0
W
12 Sep
vs Leamington
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Berkhamsted
2–3
L
31 Aug
vs Hitchin Town
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Bromsgrove Sporting
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Bury Town – last 6
LWWLWW
26 Sep
@ St Albans City
1–4
L
22 Sep
vs Hitchin Town
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Gorleston
4–3
W
12 Sep
@ Bromsgrove Sporting
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ London Lions
4–2
W
31 Aug
vs Leiston
4–3
W
2.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bishop's Stortford and Bury Town.
What is the prediction for Bishop's Stortford vs Bury Town?
Our pick is Bury Town or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bishop's Stortford vs Bury Town?
On our numbers Bishop's Stortford have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Bury Town 63%.
How many goals will there be in Bishop's Stortford vs Bury Town?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bishop's Stortford vs Bury Town?
Our predicted score is Bishop's Stortford 0–1 Bury Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Bishop's Stortford vs Bury Town?
Bishop's Stortford vs Bury Town (Non League Premier Southern Central) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
