Double chanceGainsborough Trinity or draw ✓88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.61
Gainsborough Trinity vs Ilkeston Town preview and prediction
The match
The Non League Premier Northern sees Gainsborough Trinity take on Ilkeston Town on Tuesday 13 October, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT). Gainsborough Trinity are 5th with 29 points from 17 games (in the top half), while Ilkeston Town sit 20th on 13 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gainsborough Trinity's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat AFC Emley 2–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Ilkeston Town's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Redcar Athletic 0–5 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Gainsborough Trinity arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for Gainsborough Trinity and 0.8 for Ilkeston Town. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gainsborough Trinity 71%, draw 17%, Ilkeston Town 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gainsborough Trinity to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Gainsborough Trinity 2–0 Ilkeston Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gainsborough Trinity71%fair 1.41 · @1.36
Draw17%fair 5.87 · @4.40
Ilkeston Town12%fair 8.29 · @6.50
3.13Expected goals
2.31Gainsborough Trinity xG
0.82Ilkeston Town xG
59%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Gainsborough Trinity 2.3 – 0.8 Ilkeston Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gainsborough Trinity to win✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Double chance
Gainsborough Trinity or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Gainsborough Trinity ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gainsborough Trinity / FT Gainsborough Trinity✗
47%
2.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.61
–
Form
Gainsborough Trinity – last 6
WWLDWD
10 Oct
@ AFC Emley
2–1
W
6 Oct
@ Whitby Town
6–2
W
3 Oct
vs Anstey Nomads
2–3
L
26 Sep
@ Bury
3–3
D
22 Sep
vs Leamington
3–0
W
19 Sep
@ Leamington
1–1
D
2.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ilkeston Town – last 6
LLLLLL
10 Oct
vs Redcar Athletic
0–5
L
6 Oct
vs Guiseley AFC
0–2
L
3 Oct
@ Lancaster City
1–2
L
29 Sep
vs Rylands
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Anstey Nomads
1–3
L
12 Sep
@ Workington
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gainsborough Trinity and Ilkeston Town.
What is the prediction for Gainsborough Trinity vs Ilkeston Town?
Our pick is Gainsborough Trinity to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Gainsborough Trinity vs Ilkeston Town?
On our numbers Gainsborough Trinity have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Ilkeston Town 12%.
How many goals will there be in Gainsborough Trinity vs Ilkeston Town?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gainsborough Trinity vs Ilkeston Town?
Our predicted score is Gainsborough Trinity 2–0 Ilkeston Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Gainsborough Trinity vs Ilkeston Town?
Gainsborough Trinity vs Ilkeston Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
