Non League Premier Northern · EnglandLancaster City vs Stockton Town prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Lancaster City 1.6 – 1.6 Stockton Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Lancaster City and Stockton Town on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Lancaster City have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.5 per game. Stockton Town have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.3 goals (1.6 for Lancaster City, 1.6 for Stockton Town). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (8%), 2–1 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.61.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Stockton Town to win ✗ | 39% | 2.56 | 2.50 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 84% | 1.19 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 38% | 2.65 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Stockton Town / FT Stockton Town ✗ | 23% | 4.33 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 8% | 11.98 | – |
Form
Lancaster City – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Warrington Town | 2–2 | D |
| 7 Oct | @ Avro | 3–5 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Ilkeston Town | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Sep | @ Whitby Town | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Cleethorpes Town | 1–5 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Bradford (Park Avenue) | 0–1 | L |
Stockton Town – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs United of Manchester | 2–2 | D |
| 6 Oct | vs Bury | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Hyde United | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Rylands | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Bamber Bridge | 5–2 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Rylands | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lancaster City and Stockton Town.
Non League Premier Northern table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cleethorpes Town | 16 | +25 | 36 |
| 2 |  Redcar Athletic | 17 | +18 | 35 |
| 3 |  Curzon Ashton | 17 | +13 | 34 |
| 4 |  Guiseley AFC | 15 | +18 | 32 |
| 5 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 17 | +9 | 29 |
| 6 |  Warrington Town | 17 | +7 | 29 |
| 7 |  Rylands | 16 | +7 | 29 |
| 8 |  Avro | 17 | +6 | 29 |
| 9 |  Workington | 17 | +1 | 27 |
| 10 |  Bury | 15 | +13 | 26 |
| 11 |  Alfreton Town | 17 | +1 | 23 |
| 12 |  AFC Emley | 18 | -8 | 23 |
| 13 |  Quorn | 16 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Lancaster City | 18 | -11 | 21 |
| 15 |  Whitby Town | 17 | -21 | 19 |
| 16 |  Hyde United | 17 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 |  Ashton United | 17 | -2 | 17 |
| 18 |  Leek Town | 17 | -5 | 17 |
| 19 |  Stockton Town | 17 | -6 | 15 |
| 20 |  Ilkeston Town | 17 | -24 | 13 |
| 21 |  United of Manchester | 16 | -7 | 12 |
| 22 |  Bamber Bridge | 17 | -20 | 11 |
More Non League Premier Northern predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Lancaster City vs Stockton Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Lancaster City vs Stockton Town?
On our numbers Lancaster City have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stockton Town 39%.
How many goals will there be in Lancaster City vs Stockton Town?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Lancaster City vs Stockton Town?
Lancaster City vs Stockton Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.