Non League Premier Northern · EnglandAshton United vs Alfreton Town prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ashton United 1.3 – 1.3 Alfreton Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Ashton United and Alfreton Town on our numbers – 38% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Ashton United have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.7 per game. Alfreton Town have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.3 for Ashton United, 1.3 for Alfreton Town). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.60 is close to our fair price of 1.70.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Alfreton Town to win ✗ | 39% | 2.56 | 2.50 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.33 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Alfreton Town / FT Alfreton Town ✗ | 22% | 4.61 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.44 | – |
Form
Ashton United – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Leek Town | 2–2 | D |
| 6 Oct | @ Quorn | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Warrington Town | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sep | @ Buxton | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Cleethorpes Town | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Whitby Town | 5–2 | W |
Alfreton Town – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Bury | 2–3 | L |
| 6 Oct | vs United of Manchester | 1–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Redcar Athletic | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Sep | vs Guiseley AFC | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Shifnal Town FC | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Bamber Bridge | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ashton United and Alfreton Town.
Non League Premier Northern table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cleethorpes Town | 16 | +25 | 36 |
| 2 |  Redcar Athletic | 17 | +18 | 35 |
| 3 |  Curzon Ashton | 17 | +13 | 34 |
| 4 |  Guiseley AFC | 15 | +18 | 32 |
| 5 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 17 | +9 | 29 |
| 6 |  Warrington Town | 17 | +7 | 29 |
| 7 |  Rylands | 16 | +7 | 29 |
| 8 |  Avro | 17 | +6 | 29 |
| 9 |  Workington | 17 | +1 | 27 |
| 10 |  Bury | 15 | +13 | 26 |
| 11 |  Alfreton Town | 17 | +1 | 23 |
| 12 |  AFC Emley | 18 | -8 | 23 |
| 13 |  Quorn | 16 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Lancaster City | 18 | -11 | 21 |
| 15 |  Whitby Town | 17 | -21 | 19 |
| 16 |  Hyde United | 17 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 |  Ashton United | 17 | -2 | 17 |
| 18 |  Leek Town | 17 | -5 | 17 |
| 19 |  Stockton Town | 17 | -6 | 15 |
| 20 |  Ilkeston Town | 17 | -24 | 13 |
| 21 |  United of Manchester | 16 | -7 | 12 |
| 22 |  Bamber Bridge | 17 | -20 | 11 |
More Non League Premier Northern predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ashton United vs Alfreton Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Ashton United vs Alfreton Town?
On our numbers Ashton United have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Alfreton Town 39%.
How many goals will there be in Ashton United vs Alfreton Town?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Ashton United vs Alfreton Town?
Ashton United vs Alfreton Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.