Non League Premier Northern · EnglandWarrington Town vs Lancaster City prediction & analysis
Warrington Town to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Warrington Town 2.0 – 1.2 Lancaster City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Warrington Town hold the edge on home soil with a 59% chance of winning, against 25% for Lancaster City.
Warrington Town have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.0 per game. Lancaster City have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 1.3 scored and 2.5 conceded.
We expect around 3.2 goals (2.0 for Warrington Town, 1.2 for Lancaster City). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (8%).
Our pick is Warrington Town to win at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is better than our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Warrington Town to win ✗ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.71 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Half-time result | Warrington Town ahead at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.38 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Warrington Town / FT Warrington Town ✗ | 36% | 2.81 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.18 | – |
Form
Warrington Town – last 6
| 6 Oct | vs Workington | 2–2 | D |
| 3 Oct | @ Marine | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Ashton United | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs South Liverpool | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ United of Manchester | 1–4 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Shildon AFC | 2–2 | D |
Lancaster City – last 6
| 7 Oct | @ Avro | 3–5 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Ilkeston Town | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Sep | @ Whitby Town | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Cleethorpes Town | 1–5 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Bradford (Park Avenue) | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Curzon Ashton | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Warrington Town and Lancaster City.
Non League Premier Northern table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cleethorpes Town | 16 | +25 | 36 |
| 2 |  Redcar Athletic | 17 | +18 | 35 |
| 3 |  Curzon Ashton | 17 | +13 | 34 |
| 4 |  Guiseley AFC | 15 | +18 | 32 |
| 5 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 17 | +9 | 29 |
| 6 |  Warrington Town | 17 | +7 | 29 |
| 7 |  Rylands | 16 | +7 | 29 |
| 8 |  Avro | 17 | +6 | 29 |
| 9 |  Workington | 17 | +1 | 27 |
| 10 |  Bury | 15 | +13 | 26 |
| 11 |  Alfreton Town | 17 | +1 | 23 |
| 12 |  AFC Emley | 18 | -8 | 23 |
| 13 |  Quorn | 16 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Lancaster City | 18 | -11 | 21 |
| 15 |  Whitby Town | 17 | -21 | 19 |
| 16 |  Hyde United | 17 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 |  Ashton United | 17 | -2 | 17 |
| 18 |  Leek Town | 17 | -5 | 17 |
| 19 |  Stockton Town | 17 | -6 | 15 |
| 20 |  Ilkeston Town | 17 | -24 | 13 |
| 21 |  United of Manchester | 16 | -7 | 12 |
| 22 |  Bamber Bridge | 17 | -20 | 11 |
More Non League Premier Northern predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Warrington Town vs Lancaster City?
Our pick is Warrington Town to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Warrington Town vs Lancaster City?
On our numbers Warrington Town have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Lancaster City 25%.
How many goals will there be in Warrington Town vs Lancaster City?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Warrington Town vs Lancaster City?
Warrington Town vs Lancaster City (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.