Non League Premier Northern · England · Turnbull GroundWhitby Town vs Gainsborough Trinity prediction & analysis
Gainsborough Trinity to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Whitby Town 1.1 – 2.4 Gainsborough Trinity expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Gainsborough Trinity travel as clear favourites – 63% to win, against 14% for Whitby Town.
Whitby Town have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 3.0 per game. Gainsborough Trinity have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 3.5 goals (1.1 for Whitby Town, 2.4 for Gainsborough Trinity). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 0–2 (8%), 1–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Whitby Town have won 0, Gainsborough Trinity have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Gainsborough Trinity to win at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is better than our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Gainsborough Trinity to win ✓ | 63% | 1.60 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Double chance | Gainsborough Trinity or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.46 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Half-time result | Gainsborough Trinity ahead at half-time ✓ | 49% | 2.04 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Gainsborough Trinity / FT Gainsborough Trinity ✓ | 43% | 2.32 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 10% | 10.48 | – |
Form
Whitby Town – last 6
| 29 Sep | vs Lancaster City | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Bridlington Town | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Hyde United | 3–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Ashton United | 2–5 | L |
| 31 Aug | vs Alfreton Town | 1–4 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Quorn | 6–3 | W |
Gainsborough Trinity – last 6
| 3 Oct | vs Anstey Nomads | 2–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Bury | 3–3 | D |
| 22 Sep | vs Leamington | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Leamington | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Avro | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Sherwood Colliery | 4–2 | W |
Head to head
| 17 Feb 2026 | Whitby Town v Gainsborough Trinity | 1–2 |
Non League Premier Northern table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cleethorpes Town | 16 | +25 | 36 |
| 2 |  Redcar Athletic | 17 | +18 | 35 |
| 3 |  Curzon Ashton | 17 | +13 | 34 |
| 4 |  Guiseley AFC | 15 | +18 | 32 |
| 5 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 17 | +9 | 29 |
| 6 |  Warrington Town | 17 | +7 | 29 |
| 7 |  Rylands | 16 | +7 | 29 |
| 8 |  Avro | 17 | +6 | 29 |
| 9 |  Workington | 17 | +1 | 27 |
| 10 |  Bury | 15 | +13 | 26 |
| 11 |  Alfreton Town | 17 | +1 | 23 |
| 12 |  AFC Emley | 18 | -8 | 23 |
| 13 |  Quorn | 16 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Lancaster City | 18 | -11 | 21 |
| 15 |  Whitby Town | 17 | -21 | 19 |
| 16 |  Hyde United | 17 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 |  Ashton United | 17 | -2 | 17 |
| 18 |  Leek Town | 17 | -5 | 17 |
| 19 |  Stockton Town | 17 | -6 | 15 |
| 20 |  Ilkeston Town | 17 | -24 | 13 |
| 21 |  United of Manchester | 16 | -7 | 12 |
| 22 |  Bamber Bridge | 17 | -20 | 11 |
More Non League Premier Northern predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Whitby Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Our pick is Gainsborough Trinity to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Whitby Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?
On our numbers Whitby Town have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gainsborough Trinity 63%.
How many goals will there be in Whitby Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Whitby Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Whitby Town vs Gainsborough Trinity (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Turnbull Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.