Non League Premier Northern · EnglandAlfreton Town vs United of Manchester prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Alfreton Town 1.7 – 1.3 United of Manchester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Alfreton Town hold the edge on home soil with a 48% chance of winning, against 32% for United of Manchester.
Alfreton Town have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3 per game. United of Manchester have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 3.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 3.1 goals (1.7 for Alfreton Town, 1.3 for United of Manchester). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.57.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Alfreton Town to win ✓ | 48% | 2.10 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 80% | 1.26 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 39% | 2.56 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Alfreton Town / FT Alfreton Town ✗ | 28% | 3.59 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.80 | – |
Form
Alfreton Town – last 6
| 3 Oct | @ Redcar Athletic | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Sep | vs Guiseley AFC | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Shifnal Town FC | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Bamber Bridge | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Stratford Town | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | @ Whitby Town | 4–1 | W |
United of Manchester – last 6
| 3 Oct | @ Worksop Town | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Hyde United | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Ossett United | 4–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Warrington Town | 4–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ Garforth Town | 5–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | vs Avro | 3–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alfreton Town and United of Manchester.
Non League Premier Northern table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cleethorpes Town | 16 | +25 | 36 |
| 2 |  Redcar Athletic | 17 | +18 | 35 |
| 3 |  Curzon Ashton | 17 | +13 | 34 |
| 4 |  Guiseley AFC | 15 | +18 | 32 |
| 5 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 17 | +9 | 29 |
| 6 |  Warrington Town | 17 | +7 | 29 |
| 7 |  Rylands | 16 | +7 | 29 |
| 8 |  Avro | 17 | +6 | 29 |
| 9 |  Workington | 17 | +1 | 27 |
| 10 |  Bury | 15 | +13 | 26 |
| 11 |  Alfreton Town | 17 | +1 | 23 |
| 12 |  AFC Emley | 18 | -8 | 23 |
| 13 |  Quorn | 16 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Lancaster City | 18 | -11 | 21 |
| 15 |  Whitby Town | 17 | -21 | 19 |
| 16 |  Hyde United | 17 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 |  Ashton United | 17 | -2 | 17 |
| 18 |  Leek Town | 17 | -5 | 17 |
| 19 |  Stockton Town | 17 | -6 | 15 |
| 20 |  Ilkeston Town | 17 | -24 | 13 |
| 21 |  United of Manchester | 16 | -7 | 12 |
| 22 |  Bamber Bridge | 17 | -20 | 11 |
More Non League Premier Northern predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Alfreton Town vs United of Manchester?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Alfreton Town vs United of Manchester?
On our numbers Alfreton Town have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 20% and United of Manchester 32%.
How many goals will there be in Alfreton Town vs United of Manchester?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
When is Alfreton Town vs United of Manchester?
Alfreton Town vs United of Manchester (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.