Ilkeston Town vs Guiseley AFC prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Guiseley AFC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Guiseley AFC to win @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuiseley AFC to win ✓59% · @1.83
Double chanceGuiseley AFC or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Ilkeston Town vs Guiseley AFC preview and prediction
The match
Ilkeston Town host Guiseley AFC in the Non League Premier Northern on Tuesday 6 October, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT). Ilkeston Town are 20th with 13 points from 17 games (in the bottom three), while Guiseley AFC sit 4th on 32 points (in the top four). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ilkeston Town's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Lancaster City 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Guiseley AFC's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Bradford (Park Avenue) 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Guiseley AFC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.1 for Ilkeston Town and 2.0 for Guiseley AFC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ilkeston Town 20%, draw 21%, Guiseley AFC 59%.
Safer route: Guiseley AFC or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Value angle: Guiseley AFC to win at 1.83 – 59% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Guiseley AFC or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Ilkeston Town 1–1 Guiseley AFC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ilkeston Town20%fair 4.96 · @3.50
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.40
Guiseley AFC59%fair 1.70 · @1.83
3.05Expected goals
1.07Ilkeston Town xG
1.98Guiseley AFC xG
50%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Ilkeston Town 1.1 – 2.0 Guiseley AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guiseley AFC to win✓
59%
1.70
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Guiseley AFC or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Guiseley AFC ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guiseley AFC / FT Guiseley AFC✓
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.07
–
Form
Ilkeston Town – last 6
LLLLLL
3 Oct
@ Lancaster City
1–2
L
29 Sep
vs Rylands
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Anstey Nomads
1–3
L
12 Sep
@ Workington
1–3
L
5 Sep
@ Leamington
1–3
L
31 Aug
vs Quorn
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Guiseley AFC – last 6
WLWWWD
3 Oct
vs Bradford (Park Avenue)
1–0
W
29 Sep
@ Alfreton Town
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Bamber Bridge
4–2
W
19 Sep
@ Hebburn Town
4–1
W
12 Sep
vs Quorn
4–1
W
5 Sep
@ Stockton Town
2–2
D
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ilkeston Town and Guiseley AFC.
What is the prediction for Ilkeston Town vs Guiseley AFC?
Our pick is Guiseley AFC or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ilkeston Town vs Guiseley AFC?
On our numbers Ilkeston Town have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Guiseley AFC 59%.
How many goals will there be in Ilkeston Town vs Guiseley AFC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ilkeston Town vs Guiseley AFC?
Our predicted score is Ilkeston Town 1–1 Guiseley AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Ilkeston Town vs Guiseley AFC?
Ilkeston Town vs Guiseley AFC (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
