Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: Workington to win @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultWorkington to win ✓50% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.54
AFC Emley vs Workington preview and prediction
The match
Workington travel to face AFC Emley in the Non League Premier Northern on Tuesday 29 September (19:45 WAT). AFC Emley are 12th with 23 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Workington sit 9th on 27 points (in the top half).
Form guide
AFC Emley's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Bootle 0–5 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Workington's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Blyth Spartans 4–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Workington arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.3 for AFC Emley and 1.8 for Workington. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: AFC Emley 29%, draw 21%, Workington 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Workington to win at 2.20 – 50% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: AFC Emley 1–1 Workington. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AFC Emley29%fair 3.45 · @2.75
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.20
Workington50%fair 2.00 · @2.20
3.06Expected goals
1.29AFC Emley xG
1.77Workington xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: AFC Emley 1.3 – 1.8 Workington expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Workington to win✓
50%
2.00
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Workington / FT Workington✗
30%
3.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.54
–
Form
AFC Emley – last 6
LLLLDD
26 Sep
@ Bootle
0–5
L
19 Sep
vs Spennymoor Town
0–4
L
12 Sep
@ Bury
0–4
L
31 Aug
vs Guiseley AFC
0–4
L
29 Aug
@ Warrington Town
2–2
D
25 Aug
@ Redcar Athletic
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Workington – last 6
WLWWWW
26 Sep
vs Blyth Spartans
4–2
W
19 Sep
@ Bury
1–5
L
12 Sep
vs Ilkeston Town
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Marske United
3–0
W
31 Aug
@ Lancaster City
3–0
W
29 Aug
vs Leek Town
3–2
W
2.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Emley and Workington.
What is the prediction for AFC Emley vs Workington?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win AFC Emley vs Workington?
On our numbers AFC Emley have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Workington 50%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Emley vs Workington?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Emley vs Workington?
Our predicted score is AFC Emley 1–1 Workington, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is AFC Emley vs Workington?
AFC Emley vs Workington (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
