Alfreton Town vs Guiseley AFC prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuiseley AFC to win ✗40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.65
Alfreton Town vs Guiseley AFC preview and prediction
The match
Alfreton Town host Guiseley AFC in the Non League Premier Northern on Tuesday 29 September, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT). Alfreton Town are 11th with 23 points from 17 games (in the top half), while Guiseley AFC sit 4th on 32 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Alfreton Town's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Shifnal Town FC 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Guiseley AFC's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Bamber Bridge 4–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game.
Guiseley AFC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.5 for Alfreton Town and 1.6 for Guiseley AFC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alfreton Town 37%, draw 23%, Guiseley AFC 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Alfreton Town 1–1 Guiseley AFC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alfreton Town37%fair 2.72 · @2.38
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.25
Guiseley AFC40%fair 2.48 · @2.50
3.17Expected goals
1.54Alfreton Town xG
1.63Guiseley AFC xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Alfreton Town 1.5 – 1.6 Guiseley AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guiseley AFC to win✗
40%
2.48
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guiseley AFC / FT Guiseley AFC✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.65
–
Form
Alfreton Town – last 6
WLLWLW
26 Sep
vs Shifnal Town FC
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Bamber Bridge
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Stratford Town
0–2
L
31 Aug
@ Whitby Town
4–1
W
29 Aug
vs Rylands
1–2
L
25 Aug
vs Hyde United
4–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Guiseley AFC – last 6
WWWDWL
26 Sep
vs Bamber Bridge
4–2
W
19 Sep
@ Hebburn Town
4–1
W
12 Sep
vs Quorn
4–1
W
5 Sep
@ Stockton Town
2–2
D
31 Aug
@ AFC Emley
4–0
W
28 Aug
vs Lancaster City
1–2
L
3.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alfreton Town and Guiseley AFC.
What is the prediction for Alfreton Town vs Guiseley AFC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Alfreton Town vs Guiseley AFC?
On our numbers Alfreton Town have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Guiseley AFC 40%.
How many goals will there be in Alfreton Town vs Guiseley AFC?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alfreton Town vs Guiseley AFC?
Our predicted score is Alfreton Town 1–1 Guiseley AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Alfreton Town vs Guiseley AFC?
Alfreton Town vs Guiseley AFC (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
