Non League Premier Northern · England · Turnbull GroundWhitby Town vs Lancaster City prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Whitby Town 1.7 – 1.8 Lancaster City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Whitby Town and Lancaster City on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Whitby Town have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 3.7 per game. Lancaster City have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
We expect around 3.6 goals (1.7 for Whitby Town, 1.8 for Lancaster City). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%), 2–1 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is better than our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Lancaster City to win ✓ | 40% | 2.50 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.62 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.91 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 36% | 2.79 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Lancaster City / FT Lancaster City ✗ | 24% | 4.10 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✓ | 8% | 12.24 | – |
Form
Whitby Town – last 6
| 26 Sep | @ Bridlington Town | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Hyde United | 3–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Ashton United | 2–5 | L |
| 31 Aug | vs Alfreton Town | 1–4 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Quorn | 6–3 | W |
| 25 Aug | @ Cleethorpes Town | 0–6 | L |
Lancaster City – last 6
| 26 Sep | @ Cleethorpes Town | 1–5 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Bradford (Park Avenue) | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Curzon Ashton | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Tadcaster Albion | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | vs Workington | 0–3 | L |
| 28 Aug | @ Guiseley AFC | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Whitby Town and Lancaster City.
Non League Premier Northern table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cleethorpes Town | 16 | +25 | 36 |
| 2 |  Redcar Athletic | 17 | +18 | 35 |
| 3 |  Curzon Ashton | 17 | +13 | 34 |
| 4 |  Guiseley AFC | 15 | +18 | 32 |
| 5 |  Gainsborough Trinity | 17 | +9 | 29 |
| 6 |  Warrington Town | 17 | +7 | 29 |
| 7 |  Rylands | 16 | +7 | 29 |
| 8 |  Avro | 17 | +6 | 29 |
| 9 |  Workington | 17 | +1 | 27 |
| 10 |  Bury | 15 | +13 | 26 |
| 11 |  Alfreton Town | 17 | +1 | 23 |
| 12 |  AFC Emley | 18 | -8 | 23 |
| 13 |  Quorn | 16 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Lancaster City | 18 | -11 | 21 |
| 15 |  Whitby Town | 17 | -21 | 19 |
| 16 |  Hyde United | 17 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 |  Ashton United | 17 | -2 | 17 |
| 18 |  Leek Town | 17 | -5 | 17 |
| 19 |  Stockton Town | 17 | -6 | 15 |
| 20 |  Ilkeston Town | 17 | -24 | 13 |
| 21 |  United of Manchester | 16 | -7 | 12 |
| 22 |  Bamber Bridge | 17 | -20 | 11 |
More Non League Premier Northern predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Whitby Town vs Lancaster City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Whitby Town vs Lancaster City?
On our numbers Whitby Town have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lancaster City 40%.
How many goals will there be in Whitby Town vs Lancaster City?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
When is Whitby Town vs Lancaster City?
Whitby Town vs Lancaster City (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Turnbull Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.