Challenge Cup · Scotland · Bellslea Park
Fraserburgh vs Stirling Albion prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
Value bet: Stirling Albion to win @ 2.15 – our chance 55% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Fraserburgh 1.6 – 2.3 Stirling Albion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Stirling Albion shade it despite being away from home – 55% to win, against 26% for Fraserburgh.
Fraserburgh have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 3.3 per game. Stirling Albion have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 2.8 conceded.
We expect around 3.9 goals (1.6 for Fraserburgh, 2.3 for Stirling Albion). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (9%), 1–1 (8%), 2–2 (7%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 72% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.39. For a bigger price, Stirling Albion to win at 2.15 is our value angle (55% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Stirling Albion to win ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | 2.15 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 71% | 1.41 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | 1.10 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | 1.83 |
| Half-time result | Stirling Albion ahead at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Stirling Albion / FT Stirling Albion ✗ | 35% | 2.87 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.49 | – |
Form
Fraserburgh – last 6
| 22 Sep | vs Cove Rangers | 0–5 | L |
| 19 Sep | @ Wick Academy | 3–2 | W |
| 16 Sep | vs Formartine United | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Sep | @ Elgin City | 0–7 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Deveronvale | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Clachnacuddin | 2–2 | D |
Stirling Albion – last 6
| 22 Sep | vs Cumbernauld Colts | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs Clyde | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ Edinburgh City | 3–7 | L |
| 8 Sep | vs Rangers U21 | 3–2 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Spartans | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Elgin City | 0–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fraserburgh and Stirling Albion.
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What is the prediction for Fraserburgh vs Stirling Albion?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Fraserburgh vs Stirling Albion?
On our numbers Fraserburgh have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Stirling Albion 55%.
How many goals will there be in Fraserburgh vs Stirling Albion?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
When is Fraserburgh vs Stirling Albion?
Fraserburgh vs Stirling Albion (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Bellslea Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.