Challenge Cup · Scotland · Station Park
Forfar Athletic vs Peterhead prediction & analysis
Peterhead or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Peterhead to win @ 1.80 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Forfar Athletic 1.0 – 2.4 Peterhead expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Peterhead travel as clear favourites – 65% to win, against 14% for Forfar Athletic.
Forfar Athletic have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.2 per game. Peterhead have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 3.4 goals (1.0 for Forfar Athletic, 2.4 for Peterhead). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 0–2 (9%), 1–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Forfar Athletic have won 0, Peterhead have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Peterhead or draw at a 86% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is better than our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Peterhead to win at 1.80 is our value angle (65% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Peterhead to win ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Double chance | Peterhead or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 60% | 1.68 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Half-time result | Peterhead ahead at half-time ✗ | 49% | 2.03 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Peterhead / FT Peterhead ✗ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 10% | 10.34 | – |
Form
Forfar Athletic – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Annan Athletic | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Spartans | 1–5 | L |
| 8 Sep | @ Banks O' Dee | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Stranraer | 0–3 | L |
| 28 Aug | @ Edinburgh City | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Clyde | 0–3 | L |
Peterhead – last 6
| 19 Sep | vs Airdrie United | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ East Kilbride | 1–3 | L |
| 8 Sep | vs Clachnacuddin | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Montrose | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Alloa Athletic | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Aug | vs Dundee II | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 7 Jul 2026 | Forfar Athletic v Peterhead | 0–3 |
More Challenge Cup predictions
League hub
Alloa Athletic4
Hibernian U211
Banks O' Dee2
Aberdeen U211
Berwick Rangers3
Stranraer2
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic1
Airdrie United6
Clachnacuddin1
Ross County5
Clyde1
Rangers U212
Dumbarton3
Kilmarnock II2
East Kilbride3
Celtic II3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Forfar Athletic vs Peterhead?
Our pick is Peterhead or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Forfar Athletic vs Peterhead?
On our numbers Forfar Athletic have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Peterhead 65%.
How many goals will there be in Forfar Athletic vs Peterhead?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Forfar Athletic vs Peterhead?
Forfar Athletic vs Peterhead (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Station Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.