Value bet: UNAM Pumas U21 to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSantos Laguna U21 to win ✗42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗3% · fair 31.79
Santos Laguna U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21 preview and prediction
The match
UNAM Pumas U21 travel to face Santos Laguna U21 in the Liga MX U21 on Wednesday 21 October (18:00 WAT). Santos Laguna U21 are 13th with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while UNAM Pumas U21 sit 12th on 20 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Santos Laguna U21's last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat Queretaro U21 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
UNAM Pumas U21's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Atlante U21 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
UNAM Pumas U21 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Santos Laguna U21 and 1.3 for UNAM Pumas U21. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 49%.
Value angle: UNAM Pumas U21 to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 52% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Santos Laguna U21 2–1 UNAM Pumas U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santos Laguna U2142%fair 2.41 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.30
UNAM Pumas U2136%fair 2.80 · @3.00
2.64Expected goals
1.38Santos Laguna U21 xG
1.26UNAM Pumas U21 xG
49%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Santos Laguna U21 1.4 – 1.3 UNAM Pumas U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santos Laguna U21 to win✗
42%
2.41
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santos Laguna U21 / FT Santos Laguna U21✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
3%
31.79
–
Form
Santos Laguna U21 – last 6
WDWLDL
17 Oct
vs Queretaro U21
3–1
W
11 Oct
@ Atl. San Luis U21
2–2
D
26 Sep
vs Pachuca U21
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Toluca U21
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Juarez U21
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Cruz Azul U21
0–4
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
UNAM Pumas U21 – last 6
WWDWDD
16 Oct
@ Atlante U21
2–0
W
11 Oct
vs Cruz Azul U21
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs Atl. San Luis U21
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Atlas U21
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Guadalajara Chivas U21
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Club Leon U21
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santos Laguna U21 and UNAM Pumas U21.
What is the prediction for Santos Laguna U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Santos Laguna U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21?
On our numbers Santos Laguna U21 have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and UNAM Pumas U21 36%.
How many goals will there be in Santos Laguna U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos Laguna U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21?
Our predicted score is Santos Laguna U21 2–1 UNAM Pumas U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Santos Laguna U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21?
Santos Laguna U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21 (Liga MX U21) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
