Value bet: Monterrey U21 to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMonterrey U21 to win ✗41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.53
Puebla U21 vs Monterrey U21 preview and prediction
The match
Puebla U21 host Monterrey U21 in the Liga MX U21 on Wednesday 21 October, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Puebla U21 are 5th with 26 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Monterrey U21 sit 11th on 22 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Puebla U21's last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with Club Tijuana U21 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Monterrey U21's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with Pachuca U21 2–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Puebla U21 and 1.3 for Monterrey U21. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 47%.
Value angle: Monterrey U21 to win at 2.62 – 41% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Puebla U21 1–1 Monterrey U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Puebla U2136%fair 2.74 · @2.35
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.25
Monterrey U2141%fair 2.47 · @2.62
2.52Expected goals
1.22Puebla U21 xG
1.30Monterrey U21 xG
47%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Puebla U21 1.2 – 1.3 Monterrey U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monterrey U21 to win✗
41%
2.47
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monterrey U21 / FT Monterrey U21✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.53
–
Form
Puebla U21 – last 6
DLDDWD
16 Oct
@ Club Tijuana U21
0–0
D
9 Oct
vs Club Leon U21
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Tigres UANL U21
1–1
D
18 Sep
vs Atlante U21
0–0
D
11 Sep
@ Necaxa U21
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Club America U21
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Monterrey U21 – last 6
DLLWLW
18 Oct
vs Pachuca U21
2–2
D
10 Oct
@ Club America U21
0–3
L
25 Sep
@ Atlante U21
4–5
L
19 Sep
vs Cruz Azul U21
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Tigres UANL U21
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Atl. San Luis U21
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Puebla U21 and Monterrey U21.
What is the prediction for Puebla U21 vs Monterrey U21?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Puebla U21 vs Monterrey U21?
On our numbers Puebla U21 have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Monterrey U21 41%.
How many goals will there be in Puebla U21 vs Monterrey U21?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puebla U21 vs Monterrey U21?
Our predicted score is Puebla U21 1–1 Monterrey U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Puebla U21 vs Monterrey U21?
Puebla U21 vs Monterrey U21 (Liga MX U21) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
