Pachuca U21 vs Cruz Azul U21 prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Pachuca U21 or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Pachuca U21 to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPachuca U21 to win ✓64% · @1.85
Double chancePachuca U21 or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 13.21
Pachuca U21 vs Cruz Azul U21 preview and prediction
The match
Pachuca U21 host Cruz Azul U21 in the Liga MX U21 on Wednesday 21 October, with kick-off at 16:15 (WAT). Pachuca U21 are 15th with 18 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Cruz Azul U21 sit 14th on 19 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Pachuca U21's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Monterrey U21 2–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Cruz Azul U21's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Juarez U21 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Pachuca U21 and 0.8 for Cruz Azul U21. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 46%.
Value angle: Pachuca U21 to win at 1.85 – 64% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Pachuca U21 or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Pachuca U21 1–0 Cruz Azul U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pachuca U2164%fair 1.56 · @1.85
Draw19%fair 5.19 · @3.40
Cruz Azul U2117%fair 6.06 · @3.50
2.76Expected goals
1.93Pachuca U21 xG
0.83Cruz Azul U21 xG
46%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Pachuca U21 1.9 – 0.8 Cruz Azul U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pachuca U21 to win✓
64%
1.56
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Pachuca U21 or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Pachuca U21 ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pachuca U21 / FT Pachuca U21✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
8%
13.21
–
Form
Pachuca U21 – last 6
DLLWDD
18 Oct
@ Monterrey U21
2–2
D
11 Oct
vs Necaxa U21
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Santos Laguna U21
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Club Tijuana U21
2–1
W
11 Sep
@ Atlante U21
0–0
D
4 Sep
@ Juarez U21
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Cruz Azul U21 – last 6
DLLLLW
17 Oct
vs Juarez U21
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ UNAM Pumas U21
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs Toluca U21
2–3
L
19 Sep
@ Monterrey U21
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Club America U21
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Santos Laguna U21
4–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pachuca U21 and Cruz Azul U21.
What is the prediction for Pachuca U21 vs Cruz Azul U21?
Our pick is Pachuca U21 or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Pachuca U21 vs Cruz Azul U21?
On our numbers Pachuca U21 have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Cruz Azul U21 17%.
How many goals will there be in Pachuca U21 vs Cruz Azul U21?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pachuca U21 vs Cruz Azul U21?
Our predicted score is Pachuca U21 1–0 Cruz Azul U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Pachuca U21 vs Cruz Azul U21?
Pachuca U21 vs Cruz Azul U21 (Liga MX U21) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
