Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Jadran LP to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJadran LP to win ✗57% · @1.91
Double chanceJadran LP or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.23
Jadran LP vs Dugopolje preview and prediction
The match
Dugopolje travel to NK Jadran in the First NL on Saturday 17 October (11:45 WAT) to face Jadran LP. Jadran LP are 3rd with 20 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Dugopolje sit 15th on 11 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Jadran LP's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Sesvete 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Dugopolje's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Croatia Zmijavci 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Jadran LP arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Jadran LP and 0.8 for Dugopolje. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Jadran LP to win at 1.91 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Jadran LP or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Jadran LP 1–0 Dugopolje. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jadran LP57%fair 1.75 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.10
Dugopolje17%fair 5.87 · @3.50
2.50Expected goals
1.69Jadran LP xG
0.81Dugopolje xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Jadran LP 1.7 – 0.8 Dugopolje expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jadran LP to win✗
57%
1.75
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Jadran LP or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jadran LP / FT Jadran LP✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.23
–
Form
Jadran LP – last 6
DLWWWL
9 Oct
@ Sesvete
1–1
D
2 Oct
@ Zrinjski
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs Kustosija
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Vukovar
3–2
W
12 Sep
vs Orijent 1919
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Dugopolje – last 6
LLWLDD
11 Oct
vs Croatia Zmijavci
0–1
L
27 Sep
@ HNK Cibalia
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Dinamo Zagreb U21
3–2
W
12 Sep
@ Segesta Sisak
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Mladost Ždralovi
0–0
D
2 Sep
vs Karlovac 1919
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jadran LP and Dugopolje.
What is the prediction for Jadran LP vs Dugopolje?
Our pick is Jadran LP or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Jadran LP vs Dugopolje?
On our numbers Jadran LP have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Dugopolje 17%.
How many goals will there be in Jadran LP vs Dugopolje?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jadran LP vs Dugopolje?
Our predicted score is Jadran LP 1–0 Dugopolje, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Jadran LP vs Dugopolje?
Jadran LP vs Dugopolje (First NL) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 11:45 (West Africa Time) at NK Jadran.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
