Value bet: Kustosija to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHrvace to win ✗40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.65
Hrvace vs Kustosija preview and prediction
The match
The First NL sees Hrvace take on Kustosija on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Gradski stadion Hrvace. Hrvace are 16th with 11 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Kustosija sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Hrvace's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Vukovar 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Kustosija's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Opatija 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Hrvace and 0.9 for Kustosija. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hrvace 40%, draw 25%, Kustosija 35%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Kustosija to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Hrvace 0–0 Kustosija. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hrvace40%fair 2.51 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @2.90
Kustosija35%fair 2.87 · @3.20
1.88Expected goals
0.99Hrvace xG
0.89Kustosija xG
48%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Hrvace 1.0 – 0.9 Kustosija expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hrvace to win✗
40%
2.51
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.65
–
Form
Hrvace – last 6
LWWDLL
10 Oct
@ Vukovar
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Orijent 1919
3–0
W
19 Sep
@ Bsk Bijelo Brdo
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Dubrava Zagreb
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Karlovac 1919
1–3
L
2 Sep
@ Opatija
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kustosija – last 6
DLWLDL
9 Oct
@ Opatija
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Jadran LP
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Croatia Zmijavci
1–0
W
16 Sep
vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ HNK Cibalia
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Dinamo Zagreb U21
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hrvace and Kustosija.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Hrvace vs Kustosija?
On our numbers Hrvace have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kustosija 35%.
How many goals will there be in Hrvace vs Kustosija?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hrvace vs Kustosija?
Our predicted score is Hrvace 0–0 Kustosija, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Hrvace vs Kustosija?
Hrvace vs Kustosija (First NL) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Gradski stadion Hrvace.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
