Value bet: Vukovar to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVukovar to win ✓39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · fair 1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.00
Vukovar vs Dubrava Zagreb preview and prediction
The match
The First NL sees Vukovar take on Dubrava Zagreb on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadion Gradski vrt. Vukovar are 12th with 14 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Dubrava Zagreb sit 14th on 13 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Vukovar's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Hrvace 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Dubrava Zagreb's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Orijent 1919 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Vukovar and 1.3 for Dubrava Zagreb. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vukovar 39%, draw 24%, Dubrava Zagreb 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Vukovar to win at 2.75 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Vukovar 1–1 Dubrava Zagreb. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vukovar39%fair 2.59 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
Dubrava Zagreb37%fair 2.68 · @2.30
2.56Expected goals
1.29Vukovar xG
1.27Dubrava Zagreb xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Vukovar 1.3 – 1.3 Dubrava Zagreb expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vukovar to win✓
39%
2.59
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vukovar / FT Vukovar✓
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.00
–
Form
Vukovar – last 6
WLLLWW
10 Oct
vs Hrvace
1–0
W
4 Oct
vs Dinamo Zagreb
0–4
L
27 Sep
@ Opatija
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Jadran LP
2–3
L
13 Sep
@ Croatia Zmijavci
3–2
W
9 Sep
vs HNK Cibalia
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dubrava Zagreb – last 6
LLWDWD
10 Oct
@ Orijent 1919
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Karlovac 1919
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Hrvace
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Opatija
2–1
W
2 Sep
@ Jadran LP
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vukovar and Dubrava Zagreb.
What is the prediction for Vukovar vs Dubrava Zagreb?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Vukovar vs Dubrava Zagreb?
On our numbers Vukovar have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Dubrava Zagreb 37%.
How many goals will there be in Vukovar vs Dubrava Zagreb?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vukovar vs Dubrava Zagreb?
Our predicted score is Vukovar 1–1 Dubrava Zagreb, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Vukovar vs Dubrava Zagreb?
Vukovar vs Dubrava Zagreb (First NL) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Gradski vrt.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
