Leyton Orient vs Arsenal U21 preview and prediction
The match
The EFL Trophy sees Leyton Orient take on Arsenal U21 on Tuesday 15 September, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Brisbane Road. Leyton Orient are 1st with 9 points from 3 games, while Arsenal U21 sit 4th on 3 points.
Form guide
Leyton Orient's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Wycombe 2–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Arsenal U21's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Chelsea U21 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Leyton Orient arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.5 goals: 3.0 for Leyton Orient and 1.5 for Arsenal U21. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 83% and both teams to score at 69%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leyton Orient 64%, draw 22%, Arsenal U21 14%.
Safer route: Leyton Orient or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Leyton Orient 2–1 Arsenal U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leyton Orient64%fair 1.56 · @1.57
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.80
Arsenal U2114%fair 7.21 · @4.40
4.50Expected goals
2.98Leyton Orient xG
1.52Arsenal U21 xG
69%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–17%
3–17%
2–26%
3–26%
4–16%
1–15%
From our goals model: Leyton Orient 3.0 – 1.5 Arsenal U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leyton Orient to win✗
64%
1.56
1.57
Double chance
Leyton Orient or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Leyton Orient ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leyton Orient / FT Leyton Orient✗
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.34
–
Form
Leyton Orient – last 6
LLDWLD
12 Sep
vs Wycombe
2–3
L
8 Sep
vs Bradford
1–3
L
5 Sep
@ Luton
1–1
D
1 Sep
@ Bromley
5–0
W
29 Aug
vs Barnsley
1–3
L
25 Aug
@ Walsall
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Arsenal U21 – last 6
LDDLLL
12 Sep
vs Chelsea U21
1–4
L
31 Aug
@ Brighton U21
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Crystal Palace U21
1–1
D
18 Aug
@ Barnet
1–5
L
13 Apr
@ Crystal Palace U21
0–2
L
23 Mar
@ Sunderland U21
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leyton Orient and Arsenal U21.
What is the prediction for Leyton Orient vs Arsenal U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Leyton Orient vs Arsenal U21?
On our numbers Leyton Orient have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Arsenal U21 14%.
How many goals will there be in Leyton Orient vs Arsenal U21?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leyton Orient vs Arsenal U21?
Our predicted score is Leyton Orient 2–1 Arsenal U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Leyton Orient vs Arsenal U21?
Leyton Orient vs Arsenal U21 (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Brisbane Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
York1
Newcastle United U213
Chesterfield5
Manchester City U213
Wycombe2
Chelsea U211
Swindon Town1
Crystal Palace U212