EFL Trophy · England · SMH Group Stadium
Chesterfield vs Manchester City U21 prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Chesterfield 2.6 – 2.4 Manchester City U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Chesterfield hold the edge on home soil with a 42% chance of winning, against 35% for Manchester City U21.
Chesterfield have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3 per game. Manchester City U21 have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 3.0 scored and 1.5 conceded. Manchester City U21 come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 5.0 goals (2.6 for Chesterfield, 2.4 for Manchester City U21). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–2 (7%), 3–2 (6%), 2–1 (5%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 72% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.39.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Chesterfield to win ✓ | 42% | 2.37 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 96% | 1.04 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.36 | – |
| Half-time result | Chesterfield ahead at half-time ✗ | 38% | 2.65 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield ✗ | 28% | 3.55 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 3–2 ✗ | 6% | 17.58 | – |
Form
Chesterfield – last 6
| 12 Sep | @ Oldham | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Barnet | 3–3 | D |
| 1 Sep | vs Gillingham | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | @ Rotherham | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Salford City | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | vs Fleetwood Town | 0–1 | L |
Manchester City U21 – last 6
| 28 Aug | @ Nottingham Forest U21 | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Aug | vs Wolves U21 | 4–0 | W |
| 19 Aug | @ Mansfield Town | 4–1 | W |
| 8 May | vs Manchester United U21 | 3–4 | L |
| 1 May | @ Aston Villa U21 | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Apr | vs Norwich City U21 | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesterfield and Manchester City U21.
EFL Trophy table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bolton | 3 | +8 | 9 |
| 2 |  Rotherham | 3 | +2 | 6 |
| 3 |  Manchester City U21 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 |  Oldham | 3 | -9 | 0 |
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What is the prediction for Chesterfield vs Manchester City U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Manchester City U21?
On our numbers Chesterfield have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Manchester City U21 35%.
How many goals will there be in Chesterfield vs Manchester City U21?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
When is Chesterfield vs Manchester City U21?
Chesterfield vs Manchester City U21 (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at SMH Group Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.