Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21 prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBlackpool to win ✓73% · @1.30
Double chanceBlackpool or draw ✓89% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.53
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 13.21
Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21 preview and prediction
The match
The EFL Trophy sees Blackpool take on Aston Villa U21 on Tuesday 27 October, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Bloomfield Road. Blackpool are 2nd with 6 points from 3 games, while Aston Villa U21 sit 4th on 0 points.
Form guide
Blackpool's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Mansfield Town 1–4 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Aston Villa U21's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Burnley U21 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Aston Villa U21 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.8 goals: 3.3 for Blackpool and 1.4 for Aston Villa U21. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 85% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Blackpool 73%, draw 17%, Aston Villa U21 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Blackpool 3–1 Aston Villa U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Blackpool73%fair 1.38 · @1.30
Draw17%fair 5.99 · @5.00
Aston Villa U2111%fair 9.27 · @6.50
4.75Expected goals
3.33Blackpool xG
1.42Aston Villa U21 xG
67%Both score
85%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–18%
2–17%
4–16%
3–25%
3–05%
2–25%
From our goals model: Blackpool 3.3 – 1.4 Aston Villa U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Blackpool to win✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Double chance
Blackpool or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.49
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Blackpool ahead at half-time✗
58%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Blackpool / FT Blackpool✗
52%
1.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
13.21
–
Form
Blackpool – last 6
LWLLDL
24 Oct
vs Mansfield Town
1–4
L
20 Oct
vs Milton Keynes Dons
2–0
W
17 Oct
@ Leyton Orient
0–2
L
10 Oct
@ Cambridge United
0–1
L
6 Oct
vs Crewe
2–2
D
22 Sep
@ Wigan
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aston Villa U21 – last 6
WLDWDL
17 Oct
@ Burnley U21
1–0
W
22 Sep
@ Crewe
1–4
L
18 Sep
vs Middlesbrough U21
2–2
D
15 Sep
vs Real Sociedad II
5–1
W
11 Sep
@ Fulham U21
3–3
D
2 Sep
vs Brondby U21
0–4
L
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Blackpool and Aston Villa U21.
What is the prediction for Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21?
On our numbers Blackpool have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Aston Villa U21 11%.
How many goals will there be in Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21?
We expect about 4.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 85% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21?
Our predicted score is Blackpool 3–1 Aston Villa U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.8 goals in total.
When is Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21?
Blackpool vs Aston Villa U21 (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Bloomfield Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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