EFL Trophy · England · Vale Park
Port Vale vs Manchester City U21 prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Port Vale 2.8 – 1.7 Manchester City U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Port Vale hold the edge on home soil with a 59% chance of winning, against 22% for Manchester City U21.
Port Vale have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.7 per game. Manchester City U21 have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 3.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
We expect around 4.5 goals (2.8 for Port Vale, 1.7 for Manchester City U21). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 74% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (7%), 3–1 (7%), 2–2 (6%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.36.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Port Vale to win ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.67 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 74% | 1.36 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 94% | 1.07 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Half-time result | Port Vale ahead at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.12 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Port Vale / FT Port Vale ✓ | 40% | 2.52 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 7% | 13.55 | – |
Form
Port Vale – last 6
| 24 Oct | @ York | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | @ Gillingham | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Oct | vs Chesterfield | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Grimsby | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Oct | vs Mansfield Town | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | @ Chesterfield | 1–1 | D |
Manchester City U21 – last 6
| 23 Oct | vs Stoke City U21 | 4–3 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Tottenham Hotspur U21 | 2–4 | L |
| 15 Sep | @ Chesterfield | 3–5 | L |
| 28 Aug | @ Nottingham Forest U21 | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Aug | vs Wolves U21 | 4–0 | W |
| 19 Aug | @ Mansfield Town | 4–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Port Vale and Manchester City U21.
EFL Trophy table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bolton | 3 | +8 | 9 |
| 2 |  Rotherham | 3 | +2 | 6 |
| 3 |  Manchester City U21 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 |  Oldham | 3 | -9 | 0 |
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What is the prediction for Port Vale vs Manchester City U21?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Port Vale vs Manchester City U21?
On our numbers Port Vale have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Manchester City U21 22%.
How many goals will there be in Port Vale vs Manchester City U21?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 74% of the time on our projection.
When is Port Vale vs Manchester City U21?
Port Vale vs Manchester City U21 (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Vale Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.