Value bet: Farnham Town to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFarnham Town to win ✗38% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.71
Hemel Hempstead Town vs Farnham Town preview and prediction
The match
The National League South sees Hemel Hempstead Town take on Farnham Town on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Focus Community Arena. Hemel Hempstead Town are 20th with 15 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Farnham Town sit 5th on 29 points (in the top half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Hemel Hempstead Town's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Folkestone Invicta 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Farnham Town's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Torquay 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Hemel Hempstead Town and 1.3 for Farnham Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hemel Hempstead Town 38%, draw 24%, Farnham Town 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Farnham Town to win at 3.00 – 38% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Hemel Hempstead Town 1–1 Farnham Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hemel Hempstead Town38%fair 2.64 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.25
Farnham Town38%fair 2.61 · @3.00
2.50Expected goals
1.25Hemel Hempstead Town xG
1.25Farnham Town xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Hemel Hempstead Town 1.2 – 1.3 Farnham Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Farnham Town to win✗
38%
2.61
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Farnham Town / FT Farnham Town✗
21%
4.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.71
–
Form
Hemel Hempstead Town – last 6
LLWLWD
31 Aug
@ Folkestone Invicta
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Weston-super-Mare
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Salisbury
2–1
W
18 Aug
vs Maidenhead
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Farnborough
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Chelmsford City
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Farnham Town – last 6
WWLWLL
31 Aug
vs Torquay
2–0
W
29 Aug
@ Horsham
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Billericay Town
2–4
L
18 Aug
@ Slough Town
1–0
W
14 Aug
@ Dagenham & Redbridge
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs AFC Totton
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hemel Hempstead Town and Farnham Town.
What is the prediction for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Farnham Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Hemel Hempstead Town vs Farnham Town?
On our numbers Hemel Hempstead Town have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Farnham Town 38%.
How many goals will there be in Hemel Hempstead Town vs Farnham Town?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Farnham Town?
Our predicted score is Hemel Hempstead Town 1–1 Farnham Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Hemel Hempstead Town vs Farnham Town?
Hemel Hempstead Town vs Farnham Town (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Focus Community Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
