Maidstone Utd vs Weston-super-Mare prediction & analysis

Very little separates Maidstone Utd and Weston-super-Mare on our numbers – 41% for the home side, 34% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Maidstone Utd have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.2 per game. Weston-super-Mare have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.

We expect around 3.2 goals (1.7 for Maidstone Utd, 1.5 for Weston-super-Mare). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).

In their last 1 meeting, Maidstone Utd have won 1, Weston-super-Mare have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is better than our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Weston-super-Mare to win at 3.40 is our value angle (34% on our numbers).