Value bet: Salisbury to win @ 2.50 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSalisbury to win ✗45% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.05
Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead Town preview and prediction
The match
The National League South sees Salisbury take on Hemel Hempstead Town on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Salisbury are 3rd with 31 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Hemel Hempstead Town sit 20th on 15 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Salisbury's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Horsham 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hemel Hempstead Town's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Maidenhead 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Salisbury arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Salisbury and 1.0 for Hemel Hempstead Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Salisbury 45%, draw 22%, Hemel Hempstead Town 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Salisbury to win at 2.50 – 45% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Salisbury 1–1 Hemel Hempstead Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Salisbury45%fair 2.24 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Hemel Hempstead Town34%fair 2.98 · @2.50
2.30Expected goals
1.26Salisbury xG
1.04Hemel Hempstead Town xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Salisbury 1.3 – 1.0 Hemel Hempstead Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Salisbury to win✗
45%
2.24
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Salisbury / FT Salisbury✗
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.05
–
Form
Salisbury – last 6
DWWLWL
15 Aug
@ Horsham
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Hampton & Richmond
5–0
W
31 Jul
vs Havant & Wville
5–0
W
25 Jul
@ Frome Town
0–3
L
18 Jul
@ Wimborne Town
3–1
W
11 Jul
vs Bristol Rovers
2–3
L
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Hemel Hempstead Town – last 6
LWDDLL
18 Aug
vs Maidenhead
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Farnborough
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Chelmsford City
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ St Albans City
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Wealdstone
0–1
L
11 Jul
vs Barnet
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Salisbury and Hemel Hempstead Town.
What is the prediction for Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
On our numbers Salisbury have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hemel Hempstead Town 34%.
How many goals will there be in Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Our predicted score is Salisbury 1–1 Hemel Hempstead Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead Town?
Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead Town (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
