Value bet: Horsham to win @ 2.55 – our chance 45% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHorsham to win ✓45% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.32
Braintree vs Horsham preview and prediction
The match
The National League South sees Braintree take on Horsham on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Rare Breed Meat Co. Stadium. Braintree are 19th with 16 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Horsham sit 12th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Braintree's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Ipswich Town U21 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Horsham's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Hampton & Richmond 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Braintree and 1.4 for Horsham. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Horsham to win at 2.55 – 45% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Braintree 1–1 Horsham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Braintree33%fair 2.99 · @2.55
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.20
Horsham45%fair 2.24 · @2.55
2.60Expected goals
1.18Braintree xG
1.42Horsham xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–09%
0–27%
0–07%
From our goals model: Braintree 1.2 – 1.4 Horsham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Horsham to win✓
45%
2.24
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Horsham / FT Horsham✓
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.32
–
Form
Braintree – last 6
DWLLLW
18 Aug
vs Ipswich Town U21
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Chesham United
3–2
W
8 Aug
vs Tonbridge Angels
0–4
L
1 Aug
vs Aldershot Town
1–2
L
28 Jul
@ Felixstowe & Walton Utd
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs Colchester United U21
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Horsham – last 6
WDDLLW
18 Aug
vs Hampton & Richmond
2–0
W
15 Aug
vs Salisbury
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Torquay
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Worthing
0–3
L
25 Jul
@ Sutton Utd
0–2
L
18 Jul
vs Eastbourne Town
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Braintree and Horsham.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Braintree vs Horsham?
On our numbers Braintree have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Horsham 45%.
How many goals will there be in Braintree vs Horsham?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Braintree vs Horsham?
Our predicted score is Braintree 1–1 Horsham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Braintree vs Horsham?
Braintree vs Horsham (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Rare Breed Meat Co. Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
