Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.05 – our chance 54% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaidenhead to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceMaidenhead or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.51
Maidenhead vs Farnborough preview and prediction
The match
The National League South sees Maidenhead take on Farnborough on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at York Road. Maidenhead are 18th with 16 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Farnborough sit 17th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Maidenhead's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Hemel Hempstead Town 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Farnborough's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Chesham United 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Farnborough arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Maidenhead and 0.7 for Farnborough. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 54% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.05 – 54% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Maidenhead or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Maidenhead 1–0 Farnborough. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maidenhead58%fair 1.73 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.60
Farnborough20%fair 4.91 · @3.50
2.18Expected goals
1.47Maidenhead xG
0.71Farnborough xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Maidenhead 1.5 – 0.7 Farnborough expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maidenhead to win✗
58%
1.73
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Maidenhead or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maidenhead / FT Maidenhead✗
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.51
–
Form
Maidenhead – last 6
WDLLDL
18 Aug
@ Hemel Hempstead Town
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs Dorking Wanderers
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Truro City
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Brackley Town
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Wimborne Town
1–1
D
22 Jul
vs Wolves
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Farnborough – last 6
WLWWDL
19 Aug
vs Chesham United
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs Hemel Hempstead Town
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ Maidstone Utd
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Bath City
3–0
W
29 Jul
vs Portsmouth
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Aldershot Town
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maidenhead and Farnborough.
What is the prediction for Maidenhead vs Farnborough?
Our pick is Maidenhead or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Maidenhead vs Farnborough?
On our numbers Maidenhead have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Farnborough 20%.
How many goals will there be in Maidenhead vs Farnborough?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maidenhead vs Farnborough?
Our predicted score is Maidenhead 1–0 Farnborough, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Maidenhead vs Farnborough?
Maidenhead vs Farnborough (National League South) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at York Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
