Maidstone Utd vs Folkestone Invicta prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Maidstone Utd to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaidstone Utd to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceMaidstone Utd or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Maidstone Utd vs Folkestone Invicta preview and prediction
The match
Folkestone Invicta travel to Gallagher Stadium in the National League South on Tuesday 18 August (19:45 WAT) to face Maidstone Utd. Maidstone Utd are 2nd with 32 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Folkestone Invicta sit 15th on 20 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Maidstone Utd's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Walton & Hersham 3–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 3.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Folkestone Invicta's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Walton & Hersham 5–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Maidstone Utd arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.2 for Maidstone Utd and 1.3 for Folkestone Invicta. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Maidstone Utd to win at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Maidstone Utd 2–1 Folkestone Invicta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maidstone Utd56%fair 1.78 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.45
Folkestone Invicta20%fair 4.92 · @3.30
3.43Expected goals
2.16Maidstone Utd xG
1.27Folkestone Invicta xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Maidstone Utd 2.2 – 1.3 Folkestone Invicta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maidstone Utd to win✗
56%
1.78
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Maidstone Utd or draw✓
80%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.40
Half-time result
Maidstone Utd ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maidstone Utd / FT Maidstone Utd✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.43
–
Form
Maidstone Utd – last 6
WLWWWW
15 Aug
@ Walton & Hersham
3–0
W
8 Aug
vs Farnborough
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Chatham Town
3–0
W
28 Jul
vs Brentwood Town
5–0
W
11 Jul
vs Welling United
4–1
W
6 Apr
vs AFC Hornchurch
5–4
W
3.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Folkestone Invicta – last 6
WWLLWL
8 Aug
vs Walton & Hersham
5–1
W
1 Aug
vs Welling United
2–0
W
28 Jul
@ Sutton Utd
1–2
L
25 Jul
@ Sholing
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Charlton Athletic U21
2–0
W
14 Jul
@ Cray Wanderers
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maidstone Utd and Folkestone Invicta.
What is the prediction for Maidstone Utd vs Folkestone Invicta?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Maidstone Utd vs Folkestone Invicta?
On our numbers Maidstone Utd have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Folkestone Invicta 20%.
How many goals will there be in Maidstone Utd vs Folkestone Invicta?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maidstone Utd vs Folkestone Invicta?
Our predicted score is Maidstone Utd 2–1 Folkestone Invicta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Maidstone Utd vs Folkestone Invicta?
Maidstone Utd vs Folkestone Invicta (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Gallagher Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.