Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.20 – our chance 57% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAFC Totton to win ✗40% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6% · fair 15.67
AFC Totton vs Dorking Wanderers preview and prediction
The match
Dorking Wanderers travel to face AFC Totton in the National League South on Tuesday 18 August (19:45 WAT). AFC Totton are 16th with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Dorking Wanderers sit 6th on 27 points (in the top half).
Form guide
AFC Totton's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Billericay Town 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Dorking Wanderers's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Maidenhead 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
AFC Totton arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for AFC Totton and 0.9 for Dorking Wanderers. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 57% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: AFC Totton 40%, draw 22%, Dorking Wanderers 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.20 – 57% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.48, above our fair price of 1.33, so there is value in it. Predicted score: AFC Totton 0–0 Dorking Wanderers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AFC Totton40%fair 2.53 · @2.88
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.60
Dorking Wanderers38%fair 2.61 · @2.10
1.87Expected goals
0.95AFC Totton xG
0.93Dorking Wanderers xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: AFC Totton 0.9 – 0.9 Dorking Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Totton to win✗
40%
2.53
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
2.20 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.48 ▲
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
6%
15.67
–
Form
AFC Totton – last 6
WWDWLW
15 Aug
vs Billericay Town
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Farnham Town
1–0
W
11 Jul
vs Sutton Utd
2–2
D
14 Apr
vs Bath City
2–1
W
6 Apr
@ Chippenham Town
0–2
L
3 Apr
vs Salisbury
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dorking Wanderers – last 6
DLLLLW
15 Aug
@ Maidenhead
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Dagenham & Redbridge
0–1
L
28 Jul
@ Dulwich Hamlet
0–1
L
11 Jul
@ Leatherhead
2–3
L
2 May
@ Torquay
2–4
L
29 Apr
vs Maidenhead
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Totton and Dorking Wanderers.
What is the prediction for AFC Totton vs Dorking Wanderers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win AFC Totton vs Dorking Wanderers?
On our numbers AFC Totton have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dorking Wanderers 38%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Totton vs Dorking Wanderers?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Totton vs Dorking Wanderers?
Our predicted score is AFC Totton 0–0 Dorking Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is AFC Totton vs Dorking Wanderers?
AFC Totton vs Dorking Wanderers (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
