Hemel Hempstead Town vs Maidenhead prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHemel Hempstead Town to win ✗44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.66
Hemel Hempstead Town vs Maidenhead preview and prediction
The match
The National League South sees Hemel Hempstead Town take on Maidenhead on Tuesday 18 August, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT). Hemel Hempstead Town are 20th with 15 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while Maidenhead sit 18th on 16 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Hemel Hempstead Town's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Farnborough 2–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Maidenhead's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Dorking Wanderers 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Hemel Hempstead Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Hemel Hempstead Town and 0.9 for Maidenhead. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hemel Hempstead Town 44%, draw 22%, Maidenhead 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Hemel Hempstead Town 1–0 Maidenhead. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hemel Hempstead Town44%fair 2.27 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.20
Maidenhead34%fair 2.93 · @3.10
1.99Expected goals
1.09Hemel Hempstead Town xG
0.90Maidenhead xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Hemel Hempstead Town 1.1 – 0.9 Maidenhead expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hemel Hempstead Town to win✗
44%
2.27
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hemel Hempstead Town / FT Hemel Hempstead Town✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.66
–
Form
Hemel Hempstead Town – last 6
WDDLLD
15 Aug
@ Farnborough
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Chelmsford City
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ St Albans City
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Wealdstone
0–1
L
11 Jul
vs Barnet
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Enfield Town
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Maidenhead – last 6
DLLDLL
15 Aug
vs Dorking Wanderers
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Truro City
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Brackley Town
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Wimborne Town
1–1
D
22 Jul
vs Wolves
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Southampton U21
1–3
L
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hemel Hempstead Town and Maidenhead.
What is the prediction for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Maidenhead?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hemel Hempstead Town vs Maidenhead?
On our numbers Hemel Hempstead Town have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Maidenhead 34%.
How many goals will there be in Hemel Hempstead Town vs Maidenhead?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Maidenhead?
Our predicted score is Hemel Hempstead Town 1–0 Maidenhead, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Hemel Hempstead Town vs Maidenhead?
Hemel Hempstead Town vs Maidenhead (National League South) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
