Harborough Town vs Worksop Town prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Harborough Town or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
1
Value bet: Harborough Town to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHarborough Town to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceHarborough Town or draw ✓80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.91
Harborough Town vs Worksop Town preview and prediction
The match
The National League North sees Harborough Town take on Worksop Town on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Harborough Town are 19th with 17 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Worksop Town sit 14th on 20 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Harborough Town's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Spennymoor Town 3–1 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Worksop Town's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Buxton 2–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Harborough Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Harborough Town and 0.8 for Worksop Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Harborough Town 60%, draw 20%, Worksop Town 20%.
Safer route: Harborough Town or draw (80%) at 1.30.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Harborough Town to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Harborough Town or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.25, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Harborough Town 1–0 Worksop Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Harborough Town60%fair 1.67 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.50
Worksop Town20%fair 5.03 · @3.40
2.43Expected goals
1.64Harborough Town xG
0.79Worksop Town xG
59%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Harborough Town 1.6 – 0.8 Worksop Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Harborough Town to win✗
60%
1.67
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Harborough Town or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Harborough Town / FT Harborough Town✗
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.91
–
Form
Harborough Town – last 6
WWWLWD
17 Oct
vs Spennymoor Town
3–1
W
10 Oct
vs Southport
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs St Albans City
3–2
W
26 Sep
@ Macclesfield
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Rushall Olympic
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs AFC Telford United
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Worksop Town – last 6
DWLLWD
17 Oct
@ Buxton
2–2
D
10 Oct
vs Morecambe
2–1
W
3 Oct
vs United of Manchester
0–3
L
26 Sep
@ Chester
1–4
L
22 Sep
vs AFC Telford United
5–2
W
19 Sep
@ AFC Telford United
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Harborough Town and Worksop Town.
What is the prediction for Harborough Town vs Worksop Town?
Our pick is Harborough Town or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Harborough Town vs Worksop Town?
On our numbers Harborough Town have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Worksop Town 20%.
How many goals will there be in Harborough Town vs Worksop Town?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Harborough Town vs Worksop Town?
Our predicted score is Harborough Town 1–0 Worksop Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Harborough Town vs Worksop Town?
Harborough Town vs Worksop Town (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
