National League North · England · Victory ParkChorley vs Buxton prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Chorley 1.6 – 1.8 Buxton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Buxton shade it despite being away from home – 42% to win, against 35% for Chorley.
Chorley have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.0 per game. Buxton have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded. Chorley come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.4 goals (1.6 for Chorley, 1.8 for Buxton). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.55 is close to our fair price of 1.61.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Buxton to win ✓ | 42% | 2.40 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.76 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 37% | 2.70 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Buxton / FT Buxton ✓ | 25% | 3.93 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.58 | – |
Form
Chorley – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Worcester City | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | vs AFC Telford United | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Barton Town Old Boys | 4–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Spalding United | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Rylands | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ King's Lynn Town | 0–2 | L |
Buxton – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Worksop Town | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ King's Lynn Town | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs South Shields | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ South Shields | 0–4 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Ashton United | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | vs Chester | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chorley and Buxton.
National League North table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Shields | 15 | +10 | 32 |
| 2 |  Hereford | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 3 |  Oxford City | 14 | +15 | 27 |
| 4 |  Macclesfield | 13 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |  Hednesford Town | 16 | +8 | 27 |
| 6 |  King's Lynn Town | 16 | +6 | 27 |
| 7 |  Buxton | 16 | +5 | 27 |
| 8 |  Chester | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 9 |  Morecambe | 15 | +5 | 23 |
| 10 |  Bedford Town | 14 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 |  AFC Telford United | 16 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Spalding United | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 13 |  Chorley | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 15 |  Hebburn Town | 15 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 |  Merthyr Town | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Brackley Town | 16 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 |  Harborough Town | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 |  Scarborough Athletic | 15 | -1 | 16 |
| 20 |  Marine | 14 | -2 | 16 |
| 21 |  Radcliffe | 15 | -8 | 16 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 15 | -9 | 11 |
| 23 |  Southport | 15 | -15 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 15 | -15 | 10 |
More National League North predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Chorley vs Buxton?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Chorley vs Buxton?
On our numbers Chorley have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Buxton 42%.
How many goals will there be in Chorley vs Buxton?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Chorley vs Buxton?
Chorley vs Buxton (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Victory Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.