National League North · EnglandHednesford Town vs Spalding United prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Spalding United to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Hednesford Town 1.5 – 1.3 Spalding United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Hednesford Town hold the edge on home soil with a 45% chance of winning, against 35% for Spalding United.
Hednesford Town have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.3 per game. Spalding United have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded. Hednesford Town come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.5 for Hednesford Town, 1.3 for Spalding United). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 62%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.55 is close to our fair price of 1.62. For a bigger price, Spalding United to win at 3.10 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Hednesford Town to win ✓ | 45% | 2.23 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.94 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.42 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.39 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Hednesford Town / FT Hednesford Town ✗ | 25% | 3.99 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 10.44 | – |
Form
Hednesford Town – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Brackley Town | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Hereford | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Radcliffe | 4–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Coventry United | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Hebburn Town | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Sep | @ King's Lynn Town | 3–2 | W |
Spalding United – last 6
| 20 Oct | @ Alvechurch | 0–4 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Alvechurch | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Marine | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Oct | vs Bury Town | 4–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Bury Town | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Chorley | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hednesford Town and Spalding United.
National League North table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Shields | 15 | +10 | 32 |
| 2 |  Hereford | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 3 |  Oxford City | 14 | +15 | 27 |
| 4 |  Macclesfield | 13 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |  Hednesford Town | 16 | +8 | 27 |
| 6 |  King's Lynn Town | 16 | +6 | 27 |
| 7 |  Buxton | 16 | +5 | 27 |
| 8 |  Chester | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 9 |  Morecambe | 15 | +5 | 23 |
| 10 |  Bedford Town | 14 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 |  AFC Telford United | 16 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Spalding United | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 13 |  Chorley | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 15 |  Hebburn Town | 15 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 |  Merthyr Town | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Brackley Town | 16 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 |  Harborough Town | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 |  Scarborough Athletic | 15 | -1 | 16 |
| 20 |  Marine | 14 | -2 | 16 |
| 21 |  Radcliffe | 15 | -8 | 16 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 15 | -9 | 11 |
| 23 |  Southport | 15 | -15 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 15 | -15 | 10 |
More National League North predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hednesford Town vs Spalding United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Hednesford Town vs Spalding United?
On our numbers Hednesford Town have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Spalding United 35%.
How many goals will there be in Hednesford Town vs Spalding United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Hednesford Town vs Spalding United?
Hednesford Town vs Spalding United (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.