Merthyr Town vs King's Lynn Town prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: King's Lynn Town to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKing's Lynn Town to win ✗41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.01
Merthyr Town vs King's Lynn Town preview and prediction
The match
Merthyr Town host King's Lynn Town in the National League North on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Merthyr Town are 17th with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while King's Lynn Town sit 6th on 27 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Merthyr Town's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Darlington 1883 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
King's Lynn Town's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Buxton 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
King's Lynn Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Merthyr Town and 1.4 for King's Lynn Town. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Merthyr Town 36%, draw 23%, King's Lynn Town 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.55.
Value angle: King's Lynn Town to win at 2.70 – 41% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Merthyr Town 1–1 King's Lynn Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Merthyr Town36%fair 2.81 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.25
King's Lynn Town41%fair 2.42 · @2.70
2.77Expected goals
1.32Merthyr Town xG
1.45King's Lynn Town xG
63%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Merthyr Town 1.3 – 1.4 King's Lynn Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
King's Lynn Town to win✗
41%
2.42
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT King's Lynn Town / FT King's Lynn Town✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.01
–
Form
Merthyr Town – last 6
DLLDDW
10 Oct
@ Darlington 1883
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Marine
1–2
L
22 Sep
@ Truro City
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Truro City
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Scarborough Athletic
0–0
D
8 Sep
@ Chester
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
King's Lynn Town – last 6
WWLWLW
10 Oct
vs Buxton
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ AFC Telford United
5–0
W
19 Sep
@ Bedford Town
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Chorley
2–0
W
8 Sep
vs Hednesford Town
2–3
L
5 Sep
@ Darlington 1883
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Merthyr Town and King's Lynn Town.
What is the prediction for Merthyr Town vs King's Lynn Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Merthyr Town vs King's Lynn Town?
On our numbers Merthyr Town have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and King's Lynn Town 41%.
How many goals will there be in Merthyr Town vs King's Lynn Town?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Merthyr Town vs King's Lynn Town?
Our predicted score is Merthyr Town 1–1 King's Lynn Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Merthyr Town vs King's Lynn Town?
Merthyr Town vs King's Lynn Town (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
