AFC Telford United vs Darlington 1883 preview and prediction
The match
AFC Telford United host Darlington 1883 in the National League North on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at New Bucks Head. AFC Telford United are 11th with 22 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Darlington 1883 sit 22nd on 12 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
AFC Telford United's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Chorley 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Darlington 1883's last 5: DLDWL Most recently they drew with Merthyr Town 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for AFC Telford United and 1.0 for Darlington 1883. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: AFC Telford United 58%, draw 20%, Darlington 1883 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was AFC Telford United to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.73, so there is value in it. Predicted score: AFC Telford United 1–0 Darlington 1883. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AFC Telford United58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.50
Darlington 188322%fair 4.47 · @3.25
2.77Expected goals
1.79AFC Telford United xG
0.98Darlington 1883 xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: AFC Telford United 1.8 – 1.0 Darlington 1883 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Telford United to win✓
58%
1.73
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.71
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
AFC Telford United ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Telford United / FT AFC Telford United✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.17
–
Form
AFC Telford United – last 6
LLLDDW
10 Oct
@ Chorley
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs King's Lynn Town
0–5
L
22 Sep
@ Worksop Town
2–5
L
19 Sep
vs Worksop Town
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Harborough Town
0–0
D
8 Sep
vs Oxford City
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Darlington 1883 – last 6
DLDWLL
10 Oct
vs Merthyr Town
1–1
D
3 Oct
@ Morecambe
0–3
L
26 Sep
vs Hebburn Town
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Redcar Town
4–2
W
12 Sep
@ Marine
1–2
L
8 Sep
@ Chorley
2–5
L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Telford United and Darlington 1883.
What is the prediction for AFC Telford United vs Darlington 1883?
Our pick is AFC Telford United to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win AFC Telford United vs Darlington 1883?
On our numbers AFC Telford United have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Darlington 1883 22%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Telford United vs Darlington 1883?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Telford United vs Darlington 1883?
Our predicted score is AFC Telford United 1–0 Darlington 1883, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is AFC Telford United vs Darlington 1883?
AFC Telford United vs Darlington 1883 (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at New Bucks Head.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
