National League North · EnglandHednesford Town vs Brackley Town prediction & analysis
Hednesford Town or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Hednesford Town to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Hednesford Town 2.1 – 1.0 Brackley Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Hednesford Town are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 16% for Brackley Town.
Hednesford Town have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.2 per game. Brackley Town have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 3.1 goals (2.1 for Hednesford Town, 1.0 for Brackley Town). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (10%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Hednesford Town or draw at a 84% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is better than our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Hednesford Town to win at 1.85 is our value angle (61% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Hednesford Town to win ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Hednesford Town or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.68 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Half-time result | Hednesford Town ahead at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Hednesford Town / FT Hednesford Town ✓ | 40% | 2.50 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.06 | – |
Form
Hednesford Town – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Hereford | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Radcliffe | 4–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Coventry United | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Hebburn Town | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Sep | @ King's Lynn Town | 3–2 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs South Shields | 0–1 | L |
Brackley Town – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Spennymoor Town | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Chelmsford City | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | vs South Shields | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Scarborough Athletic | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sep | vs AFC Portchester | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Morecambe | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hednesford Town and Brackley Town.
National League North table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  South Shields | 15 | +10 | 32 |
| 2 |  Hereford | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 3 |  Oxford City | 14 | +15 | 27 |
| 4 |  Macclesfield | 13 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 |  Hednesford Town | 16 | +8 | 27 |
| 6 |  King's Lynn Town | 16 | +6 | 27 |
| 7 |  Buxton | 16 | +5 | 27 |
| 8 |  Chester | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 9 |  Morecambe | 15 | +5 | 23 |
| 10 |  Bedford Town | 14 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 |  AFC Telford United | 16 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 |  Spalding United | 15 | +3 | 21 |
| 13 |  Chorley | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 |  Worksop Town | 15 | -1 | 20 |
| 15 |  Hebburn Town | 15 | -8 | 20 |
| 16 |  Merthyr Town | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 |  Brackley Town | 16 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 |  Harborough Town | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 |  Scarborough Athletic | 15 | -1 | 16 |
| 20 |  Marine | 14 | -2 | 16 |
| 21 |  Radcliffe | 15 | -8 | 16 |
| 22 |  Darlington 1883 | 15 | -9 | 11 |
| 23 |  Southport | 15 | -15 | 10 |
| 24 |  Spennymoor Town | 15 | -15 | 10 |
More National League North predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hednesford Town vs Brackley Town?
Our pick is Hednesford Town or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hednesford Town vs Brackley Town?
On our numbers Hednesford Town have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Brackley Town 16%.
How many goals will there be in Hednesford Town vs Brackley Town?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Hednesford Town vs Brackley Town?
Hednesford Town vs Brackley Town (National League North) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.