Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Mardin 1969 to win @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMardin 1969 to win ✓59% · @1.83
Double chanceMardin 1969 or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓23% · fair 4.43
Mardin 1969 vs Bodrum FK preview and prediction
The match
Mardin 1969 host Bodrum FK in the 1. Lig on Monday 7 September, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at 21 Kasım Stadium. Mardin 1969 are 4th with 25 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Bodrum FK sit 7th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Mardin 1969's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Sivasspor 2–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bodrum FK's last 5: DDDDL Most recently they drew with Esenler Erokspor 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mardin 1969 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.2 for Mardin 1969 and 0.5 for Bodrum FK. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 76% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mardin 1969 59%, draw 25%, Bodrum FK 17%.
Safer route: Mardin 1969 or draw (83%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Mardin 1969 to win at 1.83 – 59% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mardin 1969 or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Mardin 1969 1–0 Bodrum FK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mardin 196959%fair 1.71 · @1.83
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.30
Bodrum FK17%fair 5.99 · @4.00
1.70Expected goals
1.24Mardin 1969 xG
0.46Bodrum FK xG
48%Both score
24%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–023%
0–018%
2–014%
1–110%
0–18%
2–16%
From our goals model: Mardin 1969 1.2 – 0.5 Bodrum FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mardin 1969 to win✓
59%
1.71
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Mardin 1969 or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mardin 1969 / FT Mardin 1969✗
32%
3.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
23%
4.43
–
Form
Mardin 1969 – last 6
DDWWDD
2 Sep
@ Sivasspor
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Vanspor FK
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Boluspor
3–0
W
16 Aug
vs Antalyaspor
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ Ümraniyespor
0–0
D
30 Apr
@ Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Bodrum FK – last 6
DDDDLW
3 Sep
vs Esenler Erokspor
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ Manisa F.K.
0–0
D
22 Aug
vs Muğlaspor
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ İstanbulspor
2–2
D
9 Aug
vs Bursaspor
0–2
L
11 May
vs Çorum FK
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mardin 1969 and Bodrum FK.
What is the prediction for Mardin 1969 vs Bodrum FK?
Our pick is Mardin 1969 or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Mardin 1969 vs Bodrum FK?
On our numbers Mardin 1969 have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bodrum FK 17%.
How many goals will there be in Mardin 1969 vs Bodrum FK?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mardin 1969 vs Bodrum FK?
Our predicted score is Mardin 1969 1–0 Bodrum FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Mardin 1969 vs Bodrum FK?
Mardin 1969 vs Bodrum FK (1. Lig) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at 21 Kasım Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
