Value bet: Kayserispor to win @ 2.80 – our chance 45% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKayserispor to win ✓45% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.31
Esenler Erokspor vs Kayserispor preview and prediction
The match
Esenler Erokspor host Kayserispor in the 1. Lig on Monday 7 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Esenler Stadium. Esenler Erokspor are 10th with 18 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Kayserispor sit 2nd on 30 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Esenler Erokspor's last 5: DLDDD Most recently they drew with Bodrum FK 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Kayserispor's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Fatih Karagümrük 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kayserispor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.7 for Esenler Erokspor and 0.8 for Kayserispor. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Kayserispor to win at 2.80 – 45% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Esenler Erokspor 1–1 Kayserispor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Esenler Erokspor34%fair 2.97 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.25
Kayserispor45%fair 2.24 · @2.80
1.50Expected goals
0.66Esenler Erokspor xG
0.84Kayserispor xG
52%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–022%
0–119%
1–015%
1–112%
0–28%
1–25%
From our goals model: Esenler Erokspor 0.7 – 0.8 Kayserispor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kayserispor to win✓
45%
2.24
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
57%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
29%
3.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
19%
5.31
–
Form
Esenler Erokspor – last 6
DLDDDL
3 Sep
@ Bodrum FK
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Iğdır FK
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ Ümraniyespor
1–1
D
14 Aug
vs Sarıyer
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Sivasspor
0–0
D
24 May
vs Çorum FK
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Kayserispor – last 6
DLWWWW
2 Sep
@ Fatih Karagümrük
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Bursaspor
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Iğdır FK
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Sivasspor
2–0
W
9 Aug
@ Vanspor FK
2–0
W
17 May
vs Konyaspor
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Esenler Erokspor and Kayserispor.
What is the prediction for Esenler Erokspor vs Kayserispor?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Esenler Erokspor vs Kayserispor?
On our numbers Esenler Erokspor have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kayserispor 45%.
How many goals will there be in Esenler Erokspor vs Kayserispor?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esenler Erokspor vs Kayserispor?
Our predicted score is Esenler Erokspor 1–1 Kayserispor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Esenler Erokspor vs Kayserispor?
Esenler Erokspor vs Kayserispor (1. Lig) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Esenler Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
